IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2605.20192.html

Leveraging Large Language Models for Sentiment Analysis: Multi-Modal Analysis of Decentraland's MANA Token

Author

Listed:
  • Xintong Wu
  • Peiting Tsai
  • Jing Yuan
  • Michael Yu
  • Greg Sun
  • Luyao Zhang

Abstract

Decentraland, a decentralized virtual reality platform operating within the expanding Metaverse ecosystem, utilizes its native MANA token to facilitate virtual asset transactions and governance. This study investigates the integration of Discord community sentiment with multi-modal financial data to enhance cryptocurrency price prediction within virtual world economies. We address: (1) identifying sentiment patterns within Decentraland's Discord community, and (2) evaluating the impact of multi-modal features on token return forecasting. Using a BERT-based large language model for sentiment analysis, we develop two LSTM architectures: a baseline incorporating historical prices and a multi-modal variant integrating sentiment scores, trading volume, and market capitalization. Results indicate predominantly neutral community sentiment with a positive skew. The multi-modal model significantly outperforms the price-only baseline in prediction accuracy. These findings demonstrate the predictive value of community-derived signals for virtual economy forecasting and establish a foundation for future research at the intersection of immersive virtual environments, natural language processing, and cryptocurrency market analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Xintong Wu & Peiting Tsai & Jing Yuan & Michael Yu & Greg Sun & Luyao Zhang, 2026. "Leveraging Large Language Models for Sentiment Analysis: Multi-Modal Analysis of Decentraland's MANA Token," Papers 2605.20192, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2605.20192
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.20192
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens, 2019. "Machine Learning Methods That Economists Should Know About," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 685-725, August.
    2. Abeer ElBahrawy & Laura Alessandretti & Anne Kandler & Romualdo Pastor-Satorras & Andrea Baronchelli, 2017. "Evolutionary dynamics of the cryptocurrency market," Papers 1705.05334, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    3. Steve Y. Yang & Sheung Yin Kevin Mo & Anqi Liu, 2015. "Twitter financial community sentiment and its predictive relationship to stock market movement," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 1637-1656, October.
    4. Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen & Christian M. Hafner, 2019. "Sentiment-Induced Bubbles in the Cryptocurrency Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-12, April.
    5. Colin Cameron, A. & Windmeijer, Frank A. G., 1997. "An R-squared measure of goodness of fit for some common nonlinear regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 329-342, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Silvia Bartolucci & Fabio Caccioli & Pierpaolo Vivo, 2019. "A percolation model for the emergence of the Bitcoin Lightning Network," Papers 1912.03556, arXiv.org.
    2. Sophie-Charlotte Klose & Johannes Lederer, 2020. "A Pipeline for Variable Selection and False Discovery Rate Control With an Application in Labor Economics," Papers 2006.12296, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    3. Kyle Colangelo & Ying-Ying Lee, 2019. "Double debiased machine learning nonparametric inference with continuous treatments," CeMMAP working papers CWP72/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    4. Christie Smith & Aaron Kumar, 2018. "Crypto‐Currencies – An Introduction To Not‐So‐Funny Moneys," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(5), pages 1531-1559, December.
    5. Ghazi Falah & Michael Hoy & Rakhal Sarker, 2000. "Co-existence in Selected Mixed Arab-Jewish Cities in Israel: By Choice or by Default?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 37(4), pages 775-796, April.
    6. Labib Shami & Teddy Lazebnik, 2024. "Implementing Machine Learning Methods in Estimating the Size of the Non-observed Economy," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(4), pages 1459-1476, April.
    7. Jang, Junkyu, 2025. "Selective news selection model for explainable stock prediction via cross-attention integration," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PD).
    8. Hurmeranta, Risto & Lyytikäinen, Teemu, 2025. "Nominal Loss Aversion in the Housing Market and Household Mobility," Working Papers 178, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    9. Chen, Ruoyu & Jiang, Hanchen & Quintero, Luis E., 2023. "Measuring the value of rent stabilization and understanding its implications for racial inequality: Evidence from New York City," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    10. Dang, Hai-Anh & Carleto, Gero & Gourlay, Sydney & Abanokova, Kseniya, 2023. "Addressing Soil Quality Data Gaps with Imputation: Evidence from Ethiopia and Uganda," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335648, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Ropotos, Ioannis, 2026. "Drivers of firm-level tail dependence: A machine learning approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    12. Dangxing Chen & Luyao Zhang, 2023. "Monotonicity for AI ethics and society: An empirical study of the monotonic neural additive model in criminology, education, health care, and finance," Papers 2301.07060, arXiv.org.
    13. Ballestar, María Teresa & Mir, Miguel Cuerdo & Pedrera, Luis Miguel Doncel & Sainz, Jorge, 2024. "Effectiveness of tutoring at school: A machine learning evaluation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    14. Li, Jiarong & Li, Xiangdong & Wang, Yong & Tu, Jiyuan, 2020. "A theoretical model of natural circulation flow and heat transfer within horizontal evacuated tube considering the secondary flow," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 630-638.
    15. Giorgio Chiovelli & Stelios Michalopoulus & Elias Papaioannou & Tanner Regan, 2025. "Illuminating the Global South," Working Papers 2025-009, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    16. Combes, Pierre-Philippe & Gobillon, Laurent & Zylberberg, Yanos, 2022. "Urban economics in a historical perspective: Recovering data with machine learning," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    17. Barzin,Samira & Avner,Paolo & Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & O’Clery,Neave, 2022. "Where Are All the Jobs ? A Machine Learning Approach for High Resolution Urban Employment Prediction inDeveloping Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9979, The World Bank.
    18. Arenas, Andreu & Calsamiglia, Caterina, 2022. "Gender Differences in High-Stakes Performance and College Admission Policies," IZA Discussion Papers 15550, IZA Network @ LISER.
    19. Tsang, Andrew, 2021. "Uncovering Heterogeneous Regional Impacts of Chinese Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 110703, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2605.20192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.