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Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies

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  • Arthur A. B. Pessa
  • Matjaz Perc
  • Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations focused on understanding their statistical properties, such as the distribution of price returns. However, research so far has only considered Bitcoin or at most a few cryptocurrencies, whilst ignoring that price returns might depend on cryptocurrency age or be influenced by market capitalization. Here, we therefore present a comprehensive investigation of large price variations for more than seven thousand digital currencies and explore whether price returns change with the coming-of-age and growth of the cryptocurrency market. We find that tail distributions of price returns follow power-law functions over the entire history of the considered cryptocurrency portfolio, with typical exponents implying the absence of characteristic scales for price variations in about half of them. Moreover, these tail distributions are asymmetric as positive returns more often display smaller exponents, indicating that large positive price variations are more likely than negative ones. Our results further reveal that changes in the tail exponents are very often simultaneously related to cryptocurrency age and market capitalization or only to age, with only a minority of cryptoassets being affected just by market capitalization or neither of the two quantities. Lastly, we find that the trends in power-law exponents usually point to mixed directions, and that large price variations are likely to become less frequent only in about 28\% of the cryptocurrencies as they age and grow in market capitalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur A. B. Pessa & Matjaz Perc & Haroldo V. Ribeiro, 2023. "Age and market capitalization drive large price variations of cryptocurrencies," Papers 2302.12319, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2302.12319
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Arman Abgaryan & Utkarsh Sharma & Joshua Tobkin, 2024. "Proof of Efficient Liquidity: A Staking Mechanism for Capital Efficient Liquidity," Papers 2401.04521, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    2. Sayed Mohammad Mousavi & Yazdan Shahin Rad, 2023. "Challenges and Legal Aspects of Financing Projects Through Cryptocurrencies in Iran," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 13(4), pages 127-151.
    3. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2023. "What is mature and what is still emerging in the cryptocurrency market?," Papers 2305.05751, arXiv.org.
    4. Arnav Hiray & Pratvi Shah & Vishwa Shah & Agam Shah & Sudheer Chava & Mukesh Tiwari, 2023. "Shifting Cryptocurrency Influence: A High-Resolution Network Analysis of Market Leaders," Papers 2307.16874, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    5. Nick James & Max Menzies & Jennifer Chan, 2023. "Semi-Metric Portfolio Optimization: A New Algorithm Reducing Simultaneous Asset Shocks," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-33, March.

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