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High-Frequency Jump Analysis of the Bitcoin Market

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  • Olivier Scaillet
  • Adrien Treccani
  • Christopher Trevisan

Abstract

We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market with trader identifiers at a tick transaction level. Jumps are frequent events and they cluster in time. The order flow imbalance and the preponderance of aggressive traders, as well as a widening of the bid-ask spread predict them. Jumps have short-term positive impact on market activity and illiquidity and see a persistent change in the price.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Scaillet & Adrien Treccani & Christopher Trevisan, 2017. "High-Frequency Jump Analysis of the Bitcoin Market," Papers 1704.08175, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2017.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1704.08175
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    References listed on IDEAS

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