IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1504.06113.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Transitions in the Stock Markets of the US, UK, and Germany

Author

Listed:
  • Matthias Raddant
  • Friedrich Wagner

Abstract

In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based model can reproduce these changes. We further show that the initial impulse for the transition might stem from the increase of high frequency trading at that time.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthias Raddant & Friedrich Wagner, 2015. "Transitions in the Stock Markets of the US, UK, and Germany," Papers 1504.06113, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1504.06113
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1504.06113
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1988. "A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 116-131, February.
    2. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    3. Dror Y Kenett & Matthias Raddant & Thomas Lux & Eshel Ben-Jacob, 2012. "Evolvement of Uniformity and Volatility in the Stressed Global Financial Village," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-8, February.
    4. R. Mantegna, 1999. "Hierarchical structure in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 193-197, September.
    5. Michel Beine & Bertrand Candelon, 2011. "Liberalisation and stock market co-movement between emerging economies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 299-312.
    6. Carrion, Allen, 2013. "Very fast money: High-frequency trading on the NASDAQ," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 680-711.
    7. Simone Alfarano & Friedrich Wagner & Mishael Milakovic, 2008. "A nonparametric approach tothe noise density in stochastic volatility models," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(5), pages 311-314.
    8. G. Livan & S. Alfarano & E. Scalas, 2011. "The fine structure of spectral properties for random correlation matrices: an application to financial markets," Papers 1102.4076, arXiv.org.
    9. Raddant, Matthias & Wagner, Friedrich, 2013. "Phase transition in the S&P stock market," Kiel Working Papers 1846, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    10. Bodurtha, James N, Jr & Mark, Nelson C, 1991. "Testing the CAPM with Time-Varying Risks and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1485-1505, September.
    11. Michael C. Munnix & Takashi Shimada & Rudi Schafer & Francois Leyvraz Thomas H. Seligman & Thomas Guhr & H. E. Stanley, 2012. "Identifying States of a Financial Market," Papers 1202.1623, arXiv.org.
    12. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    13. Campbell R. Harvey & Akhtar Siddique, 2000. "Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1263-1295, June.
    14. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    15. Pierre Cizeau & Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2000. "Correlation structure of extreme stock returns," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 0006034, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    16. Bos, T & Newbold, P, 1984. "An Empirical Investigation of the Possibility of Stochastic Systematic Risk in the Market Model," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 57(1), pages 35-41, January.
    17. P. Cizeau & M. Potters & J-P. Bouchaud, 2001. "Correlation structure of extreme stock returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 217-222.
    18. C. J. Adcock & M. Ceu Cortez & M. J. Rocha Armada & F. Silva, 2012. "Time varying betas and the unconditional distribution of asset returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(6), pages 951-967, November.
    19. Matthias Raddant & Friedrich Wagner, 2016. "Phase transition in the S&P stock market," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 11(2), pages 229-246, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Raddant, Matthias & Kenett, Dror, 2016. "Interconnectedness in the global financial market," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145560, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Raddant, Matthias & Wagner, Friedrich, 2016. "Multivariate GARCH for a large number of stocks," Kiel Working Papers 2049, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    3. Raddant, Matthias, 2016. "The response of European stock markets to the Brexit," Kiel Policy Brief 100, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    4. Matthias Raddant & Friedrich Wagner, 2016. "Multivariate Garch with dynamic beta," Papers 1609.07051, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1504.06113. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (arXiv administrators). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.