IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1109.1751.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Time-Consistent Actuarial Valuations

Author

Listed:
  • Antoon Pelsser

Abstract

Recent theoretical results establish that time-consistent valuations (i.e. pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of well-known actuarial premium principles when such backward iteration procedures are applied. We show that the one-period variance premiumprinciple converges to the non-linear exponential indifference valuation. Furthermore, we study the convergence of the one-period standard-deviation principle and establish that the Cost-of-Capital principle, which is widely used by the insurance industry, converges to the same limit as the standard-deviation principle. Finally, we study the connections between our time-consistent pricing operators, Good Deal Bound pricing and pricing under model ambiguity.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoon Pelsser, 2011. "Time-Consistent Actuarial Valuations," Papers 1109.1751, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1109.1751
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1109.1751
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stadje, M.A. & Pelsser, A., 2014. "Time-Consistent and Market-Consistent Evaluations (Revised version of 2012-086)," Other publications TiSEM 0841e78f-a73b-42c1-b7d4-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Riedel, Frank, 2004. "Dynamic coherent risk measures," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 185-200, August.
    3. Antoon Pelsser & Mitja Stadje, 2014. "Time-Consistent And Market-Consistent Evaluations," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 25-65, January.
    4. Wang, Shaun S., 2002. "A Universal Framework for Pricing Financial and Insurance Risks," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(2), pages 213-234, November.
    5. Freddy Delbaen & Shige Peng & Emanuela Rosazza Gianin, 2010. "Representation of the penalty term of dynamic concave utilities," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 449-472, September.
    6. Eckhard Platen, 2006. "A Benchmark Approach To Finance," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 131-151, January.
    7. Jocelyne Bion-Nadal, 2008. "Dynamic risk measures: Time consistency and risk measures from BMO martingales," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 219-244, April.
    8. Goovaerts, Marc J. & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2008. "Actuarial risk measures for financial derivative pricing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 540-547, April.
    9. Rob Kaas & Marc Goovaerts & Jan Dhaene & Michel Denuit, 2008. "Modern Actuarial Risk Theory," Springer Books, Springer, edition 2, number 978-3-540-70998-5, September.
    10. Monoyios, Michael, 2004. "Option pricing with transaction costs using a Markov chain approximation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 889-913, February.
    11. Cheridito, Patrick & Stadje, Mitja, 2009. "Time-inconsistency of VaR and time-consistent alternatives," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 40-46, March.
    12. Vicky Henderson, 2002. "Valuation Of Claims On Nontraded Assets Using Utility Maximization," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 351-373, October.
    13. David Hobson, 2004. "STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS, CORRELATION, AND THE q‐OPTIMAL MEASURE," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 537-556, October.
    14. A. Jobert & L. C. G. Rogers, 2008. "Valuations And Dynamic Convex Risk Measures," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 1-22, January.
    15. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    16. Hua Chen & Samuel H. Cox, 2009. "Modeling Mortality With Jumps: Applications to Mortality Securitization," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 76(3), pages 727-751, September.
    17. Amin, Kaushik I, 1993. "Jump Diffusion Option Valuation in Discrete Time," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1833-1863, December.
    18. Figlewski, Stephen & Gao, Bin, 1999. "The adaptive mesh model: a new approach to efficient option pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 313-351, September.
    19. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    20. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    21. Yi Tang & Bin Li, 2007. "Quantitative Analysis, Derivatives Modeling, and Trading Strategies:In the Presence of Counterparty Credit Risk for the Fixed-Income Market," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 4228, January.
    22. Yuen, Fei Lung & Yang, Hailiang, 2009. "Option Pricing in a Jump-Diffusion Model with Regime Switching," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 515-539, November.
    23. Biffis, Enrico, 2005. "Affine processes for dynamic mortality and actuarial valuations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 443-468, December.
    24. Marek Musiela & Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2004. "An example of indifference prices under exponential preferences," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 229-239, May.
    25. Rosazza Gianin, Emanuela, 2006. "Risk measures via g-expectations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 19-34, August.
    26. Patrick Cheridito & Freddy Delbaen & Michael Kupper, 2005. "Coherent and convex monetary risk measures for unbounded càdlàg processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 369-387, July.
    27. Rainer Baule & Marco Wilkens, 2004. "Lean Trees--A General Approach for Improving Performance of Lattice Models for Option Pricing," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 53-72.
    28. Filipovic, Damir & Vogelpoth, Nicolas, 2008. "A note on the Swiss Solvency Test risk measure," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 897-902, June.
    29. Roger J. A. Laeven & Mitja Stadje, 2014. "Robust Portfolio Choice and Indifference Valuation," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(4), pages 1109-1141, November.
    30. Jang, Jiwook, 2007. "Jump diffusion processes and their applications in insurance and finance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 62-70, July.
    31. Stadje, Mitja, 2010. "Extending dynamic convex risk measures from discrete time to continuous time: A convergence approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 391-404, December.
    32. Berend Roorda & J. M. Schumacher & Jacob Engwerda, 2005. "Coherent Acceptability Measures In Multiperiod Models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(4), pages 589-612, October.
    33. Hilliard, Jimmy E. & Schwartz, Adam, 2005. "Pricing European and American Derivatives under a Jump-Diffusion Process: A Bivariate Tree Approach," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(3), pages 671-691, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Boonen, Tim J. & De Waegenaere, Anja, 2017. "Intergenerational risk sharing in closing pension funds," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 20-30.
    2. Dhaene, Jan & Stassen, Ben & Barigou, Karim & Linders, Daniël & Chen, Ze, 2017. "Fair valuation of insurance liabilities: Merging actuarial judgement and market-consistency," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 14-27.
    3. Nils Engler & Filip Lindskog, 2023. "Approximations of multi-period liability values by simple formulas," Papers 2301.09450, arXiv.org.
    4. Engsner Hampus & Lindskog Filip, 2020. "Continuous-time limits of multi-period cost-of-capital margins," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 37(3-4), pages 79-106, July.
    5. Balter, Anne G. & Pelsser, Antoon, 2020. "Pricing and hedging in incomplete markets with model uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(3), pages 911-925.
    6. van Bilsen, Servaas & Linders, Daniël, 2019. "Affordable and adequate annuities with stable payouts: Fantasy or reality?," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 19-42.
    7. Ketelbuters, John John & Hainaut, Donatien, 2021. "Time-Consistent Evaluation of Credit Risk with Contagion," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2021004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    8. Delong, Łukasz & Dhaene, Jan & Barigou, Karim, 2019. "Fair valuation of insurance liability cash-flow streams in continuous time: Theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 196-208.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Antoon Pelsser & Mitja Stadje, 2014. "Time-Consistent And Market-Consistent Evaluations," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 25-65, January.
    2. Ji, Ronglin & Shi, Xuejun & Wang, Shijie & Zhou, Jinming, 2019. "Dynamic risk measures for processes via backward stochastic differential equations," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 43-50.
    3. Elisa Mastrogiacomo & Emanuela Rosazza Gianin, 2019. "Time-consistency of risk measures: how strong is such a property?," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(1), pages 287-317, June.
    4. Wayne King Ming Chan, 2015. "RAROC-Based Contingent Claim Valuation," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2015.
    5. Wayne King Ming Chan, 2015. "RAROC-Based Contingent Claim Valuation," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 21, July-Dece.
    6. Stadje, M.A. & Pelsser, A., 2014. "Time-Consistent and Market-Consistent Evaluations (Revised version of 2012-086)," Discussion Paper 2014-002, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    7. Wing Fung Chong & Ying Hu & Gechun Liang & Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2019. "An ergodic BSDE approach to forward entropic risk measures: representation and large-maturity behavior," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 239-273, January.
    8. Tomasz R. Bielecki & Igor Cialenco & Marcin Pitera, 2014. "A unified approach to time consistency of dynamic risk measures and dynamic performance measures in discrete time," Papers 1409.7028, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2017.
    9. D. Madan & M. Pistorius & M. Stadje, 2017. "On dynamic spectral risk measures, a limit theorem and optimal portfolio allocation," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1073-1102, October.
    10. Martijn Pistorius & Mitja Stadje, 2016. "On Dynamic Deviation Measures and Continuous-Time Portfolio Optimisation," Papers 1604.08037, arXiv.org.
    11. Delong, Łukasz & Dhaene, Jan & Barigou, Karim, 2019. "Fair valuation of insurance liability cash-flow streams in continuous time: Theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 196-208.
    12. Acciaio, Beatrice & Föllmer, Hans & Penner, Irina, 2012. "Risk assessment for uncertain cash flows: model ambiguity, discounting ambiguity, and the role of bubbles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 50118, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Mitja Stadje, 2018. "Representation Results for Law Invariant Recursive Dynamic Deviation Measures and Risk Sharing," Papers 1811.09615, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    14. Engsner Hampus & Lindskog Filip, 2020. "Continuous-time limits of multi-period cost-of-capital margins," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 37(3-4), pages 79-106, July.
    15. Roorda Berend & Schumacher Hans, 2013. "Membership conditions for consistent families of monetary valuations," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 30(3), pages 255-280, August.
    16. Stadje, Mitja, 2010. "Extending dynamic convex risk measures from discrete time to continuous time: A convergence approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 391-404, December.
    17. Elisa Mastrogiacomo & Emanuela Rosazza Gianin, 2015. "Time-consistency of cash-subadditive risk measures," Papers 1512.03641, arXiv.org.
    18. Barigou, Karim & Chen, Ze & Dhaene, Jan, 2019. "Fair dynamic valuation of insurance liabilities: Merging actuarial judgement with market- and time-consistency," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 19-29.
    19. Balter, Anne G. & Pelsser, Antoon, 2020. "Pricing and hedging in incomplete markets with model uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(3), pages 911-925.
    20. Zachary Feinstein & Birgit Rudloff, 2018. "Scalar multivariate risk measures with a single eligible asset," Papers 1807.10694, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1109.1751. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.