IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/agy/dpaper/202105.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Gauging the Market Potential for Natural Gas Among Philippine Manufacturing Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Majah-Leah V. Ravago

    (Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University)

  • Raul V. Fabella

    (School of Economics, University of the Philippines)

  • Karl Robert L. Jandoc

    (School of Economics, University of the Philippines)

  • Renzi G. Frias

    (School of Statistics, University of the Philippines)

  • J. Kathleen P. Magadia

    (Gas Policy Development Project, UPSCRFI)

Abstract

One sizable group of energy users in the Philippines is the collection of firms in the Special Economic Zones (SEZs). The production process among many of the firms in the SEZs includes heating, which currently uses the more expensive and less environment-friendly diesel or liquefied petroleum gas as fuel. Thus, natural gas is a potential cost-competitive and cleaner substitute for the feedstock currently used in both heating process and electricity requirements of firms in SEZs. Our objective in this study is to assess the likelihood of firms to switch to natural gas and determine the profile of power and fuel use among firms in manufacturing and agro-industrial SEZs. We find that the extent of knowledge about natural gas and their production technology process are the primary determinants of the likelihood to switch. Particularly, the knowledge that natural gas is a cost-competitive alternative along with the use of heating in the production process are critical to increasing a firm’s probability of switching. Hence, energy-intensive manufacturing firms that use more expensive fuel sources such as diesel for heating are more likely to switch to natural gas. These results also help shed light on facilitating the efficient transition away from less environment-friendly fuels to relatively cleaner natural gas and renewable sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Majah-Leah V. Ravago & Raul V. Fabella & Karl Robert L. Jandoc & Renzi G. Frias & J. Kathleen P. Magadia, 2021. "Gauging the Market Potential for Natural Gas Among Philippine Manufacturing Firms," Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University, Working Paper Series 202105, Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University.
  • Handle: RePEc:agy:dpaper:202105
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ateneo.edu/sites/default/files/2022-06/ADMU%20WP%202021-05.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael Jakob & Jan Christoph Steckel & Stephan Klasen & Jann Lay & Nicole Grunewald & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Sebastian Renner & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2014. "Feasible mitigation actions in developing countries," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(11), pages 961-968, November.
    2. Ravago, Majah-Leah V. & Brucal, Arlan Zandro & Roumasset, James & Punongbayan, Jan Carlo, 2019. "The role of power prices in structural transformation: Evidence from the Philippines," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 20-33.
    3. Lin, Boqiang & Li, Zhensheng, 2020. "Analysis of the natural gas demand and subsidy in China: A multi-sectoral perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    4. Serletis, Apostolos & Timilsina, Govinda & Vasetsky, Olexandr, 2009. "On interfuel substitution : some international evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5026, The World Bank.
    5. Jevgenijs Steinbuks, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution and Energy Use in the U.K. Manufacturing Sector," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    6. Minh Thong Le & Thanh Thuy Nguyen & Van Hiep Tran & Thi Kim Ngan Nguyen & Huu Tung Do, 2019. "Can Natural Gas Play an Important Role in the Energy Transition in Asia in the Future?," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 7(4), pages 28-36.
    7. Becerra-Fernandez, Mauricio & Cosenz, Federico & Dyner, Isaac, 2020. "Modeling the natural gas supply chain for sustainable growth policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    8. Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution in the United States," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Interfuel Substitution, chapter 2, pages 11-35, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Gürsan, C. & de Gooyert, V., 2021. "The systemic impact of a transition fuel: Does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. Bo Li & Victor Nian & Xunpeng Shi & Hailong Li & Augustin Boey, 2020. "Perspectives of energy transitions in East and Southeast Asia," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), January.
    11. Alan D. Woodland, 1993. "A Micro-Econometric Analysis of the Industrial Demand for Energy in NSW," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 57-90.
    12. Etienne Romsom & Kathryn McPhail, 2020. "The energy transition in Asia: Country priorities, fuel types, and energy decisions," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-48, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    13. Sarah Lynne S. Daway & Raul V. Fabella, 2015. "Development progeria: the role of institutions and the exchange rate," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 52(2), pages 84-99, December.
    14. World Bank, 2020. "Philippines Economic Update, June 2020," World Bank Publications - Reports 33879, The World Bank Group.
    15. Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "International Evidence on Sectoral Interfuel Substitution," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Interfuel Substitution, chapter 3, pages 37-65, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    16. Moss, Diana L & Tybout, James R, 1994. "The Scope for Fuel Substitution in Manufacturing Industries: A Case Study of Chile and Colombia," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 8(1), pages 49-74, January.
    17. Mark E Doms, 1993. "Inter Fuel Substitution And Energy Technology Heterogeneity In U.S. Manufacturing," Working Papers 93-5, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Dengji & Jia, Xingyun & Ma, Shixi & Shao, Tiemin & Huang, Dawen & Hao, Jiarui & Li, Taotao, 2022. "Dynamic simulation of natural gas pipeline network based on interpretable machine learning model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    2. Zhang, Hongsheng & Liu, Xingang & Hao, Ruijun & Liu, Chengjun & Liu, Yifeng & Duan, Chenghong & Qin, Jiyun, 2022. "Thermodynamic performance study on gas-steam cogeneration systems with different configurations based on condensed waste heat utilization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs & Narayanan, Badri G., 2015. "Fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 168-177.
    2. Considine, Timothy & Manderson, Edward, 2014. "The role of energy conservation and natural gas prices in the costs of achieving California's renewable energy goals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 291-301.
    3. Zhang, Yi & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2018. "The price and income elasticity of China's natural gas demand: A multi-sectoral perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 332-341.
    4. Considine, Timothy J., 2018. "Estimating concave substitution possibilities with non-stationary data using the dynamic linear logit demand model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 22-30.
    5. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Factor demand, technical change and inter-fuel substitution in Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 979-991.
    6. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Runqing & Raza, Muhammad Yousaf, 2022. "Fuel substitution and environmental sustainability in India: Perspectives of technical progress," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    7. Bardazzi, Rossella & Oropallo, Filippo & Pazienza, Maria Grazia, 2015. "Do manufacturing firms react to energy prices? Evidence from Italy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 168-181.
    8. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Miller, J. Isaac & Park, Joon Y. & Park, Sungkeun, 2014. "Time-varying Long-run Income and Output Elasticities of Electricity Demand with an Application to Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 334-347.
    9. Jevgenijs Steinbuks, 2012. "Interfuel Substitution and Energy Use in the U.K. Manufacturing Sector," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    10. Xie, Chunping & Hawkes, Adam D., 2015. "Estimation of inter-fuel substitution possibilities in China's transport industry using ridge regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 260-267.
    11. Thomas Michielsen, 2013. "Brown Backstops Versus the Green Paradox," OxCarre Working Papers 108, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    12. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs & Neuhoff, Karsten, 2014. "Assessing energy price induced improvements in efficiency of capital in OECD manufacturing industries," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 340-356.
    13. Shahiduzzaman, M.D. & Alam, Khorshed, 2014. "Interfuel substitution in Australia: a way forward to achieve environmental sustainability," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(1), January.
    14. Kostakis, Ioannis & Lolos, Sarantis & Sardianou, Eleni, 2021. "Residential natural gas demand: Assessing the evidence from Greece using pseudo-panels, 2012–2019," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    15. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang & Appiah, Michael Owusu, 2013. "Delving into Liberia's energy economy: Technical change, inter-factor and inter-fuel substitution," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 122-130.
    16. Considine, Timothy J. & Manderson, Edward J.M., 2015. "The cost of solar-centric renewable portfolio standards and reducing coal power generation using Arizona as a case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 402-419.
    17. Lin, Boqiang & Wesseh, Presley K., 2013. "Estimates of inter-fuel substitution possibilities in Chinese chemical industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 560-568.
    18. Michielsen, Thomas O., 2014. "Brown backstops versus the green paradox," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 87-110.
    19. Surender Kumar & Hidemichi Fujii & Shunsuke Managi, 2015. "Substitute or complement? Assessing renewable and nonrenewable energy in OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(14), pages 1438-1459, March.
    20. KITAMURA Toshihiko & MANAGI Shunsuke, 2016. "Substitution between Purchased Electricity and Fuel for Onsite Power Generation in the Manufacturing Industry: Plant level analysis in Japan," Discussion papers 16007, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Liquefied natural gas use; industry processes; Philippines; logit regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L95 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Gas Utilities; Pipelines; Water Utilities
    • L6 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing
    • N75 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agy:dpaper:202105. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jat Tancangco (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deadmph.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.