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International sorghum trade: United States beyond the Mexican dependency?

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  • Duch-Carvallo, Teresa
  • Malaga, Jaime E.

Abstract

This research proposes the estimation of a partial equilibrium econometric and simulation international trade model for sorghum: United States and Mexico component. Sixteen equations were simultaneously estimated and validated as a system using seemingly unrelated regression. Results on parameter estimates agree with economic theory and a working model for simulation and forecast was obtained. Forecast scenarios suggest that the dependency of sorghum trade between US and Mexico will continue.

Suggested Citation

  • Duch-Carvallo, Teresa & Malaga, Jaime E., 2009. "International sorghum trade: United States beyond the Mexican dependency?," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46862, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saeana:46862
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.46862
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/46862/files/Atlanta0901.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hueth, Brent & O'Mara, Gerry & Just, Richard E., 1995. "NAFTA: Implications for Selected Crops and Livestock of a Free Trade Agreement Between the U.S. And Mexico," Staff General Research Papers Archive 5144, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. William H. Meyers & S. Devadoss & Michael D. Helmar, 1986. "Baseline Projections, Yield Impacts, and Trade Liberalization Impacts for Soybeans, Wheat, and Feed Grains: A FAPRI Trade Model Analysis," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications (archive only) 86-wp2, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    3. Conforti, Piero & Londero, Pierluigi, 2001. "Aglink: The Oecd Partial Equilibrium Model," Working Papers 14808, National Institute of Agricultural Economics, Italy - INEA, Osservatorio Sulle Politiche Agricole dell'UE.
    4. William H. Meyers & S. Devadoss & Michael D. Helmar, 1986. "Baseline Projections, Yield Impacts, and Trade Liberalization Impacts for Soybeans, Wheat, and Feed Grains: A FAPRI Trade Model Analysis," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 86-wp2, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Bing & Malaga, Jaime E., 2010. "Grain Sorghum International Trade: U.S.-Mexico Simulation and Estimation Model," 2010 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2010, Orlando, Florida 56434, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

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