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Introducing Different Land Uses (Irrigated and Non-Irrigated) in Policy Analysis Modelling for Mediterranean Countries

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  • Casado, Jose Maria
  • Gracia, Azucena

Abstract

The arable crop sector in Spain is highly dependent of the Community subsidies and account for 33% of total transfers received by the Community. Then, it is expected that the introduction of the Single Farm Payment (SFP) will drive important changes in the arable crop production in Spain. The quantitative assessment of the SFP impacts on the arable crop sector in Spain is the overall objective of this paper. To achieve this goal, an econometric, dynamic, multi-product and partial equilibrium commodity model has been built disaggregating between irrigated and non-irrigated land use for cereals called Spanish Econometric Simulation of Agricultural Policies (SESAP). Results indicated that the introduction of the SFP has only induced considerable changes from the Agenda 2000 in the supply side, having found only small changes in imports and exports, and insignificant or null changes in domestic use. Cereals and oilseeds production is expected higher decreases under the SFP scenario than under the Agenda 2000. The main differences between irrigated and non-irrigated production of the different cereals are two. Wheat and barley are mainly produced in non-irrigated land where production shows less dependence on policy changes in the case of wheat and have a positive impact in the case of barley. However, barely and maize irrigated production would have remained constant under the Agenda 2000 but a decrease of 25% is predicted under the SFP scenario. In addition, maize is mainly produced in irrigated land, and the non-irrigated production will enormously decrease until almost disappear in the near future.

Suggested Citation

  • Casado, Jose Maria & Gracia, Azucena, 2006. "Introducing Different Land Uses (Irrigated and Non-Irrigated) in Policy Analysis Modelling for Mediterranean Countries," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25709, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae06:25709
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25709
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Conforti, Piero, 2001. "The Common Agricultural Policy In Main Partial Equilibrium Models," Working Papers 14806, National Institute of Agricultural Economics, Italy INEA, Osservatorio Sulle Politiche Agricole dell'UE.
    2. Casado, José María & Gracia, Azucena, 2005. "An Assessment of the Luxembourg Agreement on the Spanish Agricultural Sector: an Econometric Model," 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy 232589, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. de Muro, Pasquale & Salvatici, Luca, 2001. "The Common Agricultural Policy In Multisectoral Models," Working Papers 14804, National Institute of Agricultural Economics, Italy – INEA, Osservatorio Sulle Politiche Agricole dell'UE.
    4. Albisu, Luis M & Blandford, David, 1983. "An Area Response Model for Perennial Plants and Its Application to Spanish Oranges and Mandarins," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 10(2), pages 175-184.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CAP reform; Partial equilibrium model; policy modelling; irrigated agriculture; simulation; Land Economics/Use; Q12; Q18;

    JEL classification:

    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy

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