IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/pugtwp/333265.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Japan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios: Examination of the GTAP 10A MRIO Database

Author

Listed:
  • Biyik, Onur

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of an economic partnership agreement (EPA) between African countries and Japan through trade liberalization and reduction in non-tariff barriers. This study aims to investigate sectoral interconnections and participation in the EPA that would facilitate further possible opportunities for Japan-African businesses. The methodology employed is the Computable General Equilibrium model integrated with the Global Trade Analysis Project version 10A Multi-Region Input-Output database. We first modified the GTAP’s structure form to develop a long-run closure under steady-state and thereafter examined the African Continental Free Trade Area-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (AfJEPA) with several EPAs scenarios relying on the quantitative comparison of economic impacts of different technical measurements. As a result, the AfJEPA can provide new possible opportunities for Africa-Japan businesses, such as contributing to the existing African and Japanese mega-regional trade agreements. Specifically, the electronics, petroleum and coal, and chemical, rubber, and plastic industries in Africa would see the highest percent growth. Likewise, the Japanese industries would improve their productivity in the motor vehicles and transport equipment, chemical, rubber, and plastic, and textiles and apparel industries. To sum up, trade facilitation and knowledge transfer, which policymakers can improve concrete action and investment, would considerably stimulate African and Japanese real GDP. Thus, the potential for growth would rely on how deep the integration policy would be.

Suggested Citation

  • Biyik, Onur, 2021. "Japan-AfCFTA Integration Through Economic Impacts of Alternative EPA Scenarios: Examination of the GTAP 10A MRIO Database," Conference papers 333265, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333265
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/333265/files/10839.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hiau LooiKee & Alessandro Nicita & Marcelo Olarreaga, 2009. "Estimating Trade Restrictiveness Indices," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 172-199, January.
    2. Terrie Walmsley, 1998. "LONG-RUN SIMULATIONS WITH GTAP: Illustrative Results from APEC Trade Liberalisation," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-70, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Mikio Kuwayama, 2019. "TPP11 (CPTPP): Its Implications for Japan-Latin America Trade Relations in Times of Uncertainty," Discussion Paper Series DP2019-05, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    4. Peter A. Petri & Michael G. Plummer, 2016. "The Economic Effects of the Trans-Pacific Partnership: New Estimates," Working Paper Series WP16-2, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    5. Yaghoob Jafari & David G. Tarr, 2017. "Estimates of Ad Valorem Equivalents of Barriers Against Foreign Suppliers of Services in Eleven Services Sectors and 103 Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 544-573, March.
    6. Thomas W. Hertel & Terrie Walmsley & Ken Itakura, 2005. "Dynamic Effects Of The "New Age" Free Trade Agreement Between Japan And Singapore," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Philippa Dee & Michael Ferrantino (ed.), Quantitative Methods For Assessing The Effects Of Non-Tariff Measures And Trade Facilitation, chapter 18, pages 483-523, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Russell Hillberry & Xiaohui Zhang, 2018. "Policy and performance in customs: Evaluating the trade facilitation agreement," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 438-480, May.
    8. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    9. Aldaba, Rafaelita M., 2012. "Trade Reforms, Competition, and Innovation in the Philippines," Discussion Papers DP 2012-06, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    10. Kenichi Kawasaki, 2017. "Emergent Uncertainty in Regional Integration -Economic impacts of alternative RTA scenarios-," GRIPS Discussion Papers 16-27, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    11. Hertel, Thomas, 2013. "Global Applied General Equilibrium Analysis Using the Global Trade Analysis Project Framework," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 815-876, Elsevier.
    12. Francois, Joseph & Bradley McDonald, 1996. "Liberalization and Capital Accumulation in the GTAP Model," GTAP Technical Papers 310, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    13. Kenichi Kawasaki, 2017. "Emergent Uncertainty in Regional Integration -Economic impacts of alternative RTA scenarios-," GRIPS Discussion Papers 16-28, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    14. Kenichi Kawasaki & Badri G. Narayanan & Houssein Guimbard & Arata Kuno, 2019. "Analysis of the Role of Tariff Concessions in East Asia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 141-167, May.
    15. Shujiro Urata, 2016. "Mega-FTAs and the WTO: Competing or Complementary?," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 231-242, June.
    16. Carrico, Caitlyn & Erwin Corong & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2020. "The GTAP version 10A Multi-Region Input Output (MRIO) Data Base," GTAP Research Memoranda 6164, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    17. Peter Timmer, C., 1988. "The agricultural transformation," Handbook of Development Economics, in: Hollis Chenery & T.N. Srinivasan (ed.), Handbook of Development Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 8, pages 275-331, Elsevier.
    18. Mr. Lisandro Abrego & Maria Alejandra Amado & Tunc Gursoy & Garth P. Nicholls & Hector Perez-Saiz, 2019. "The African Continental Free Trade Agreement: Welfare Gains Estimates from a General Equilibrium Model," IMF Working Papers 2019/124, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Kawasaki, Kenichi, 2015. "The relative significance of EPAs in Asia-Pacific," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 19-30.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kikuchi, Tomoo & Yanagida, Kensuke & Vo, Huong, 2018. "The effects of Mega-Regional Trade Agreements on Vietnam," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 4-19.
    2. Leudjou, Roland, 2021. "Assessing the impacts of eliminating Non-Tariff Barriers in the framework of the African Continental Free Trade Area on Cameroons economy," Conference papers 330231, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Mohammad Masudur Rahman & Chanwahn Kim & Prabir De, 2020. "Indo-Pacific cooperation: what do trade simulations indicate?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Terrie Walmsley & Peter Minor, 2020. "Demand shifts and willingness to pay in applied trade models," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 1499-1520, June.
    5. Khan, Aamir & Walmsley, Terrie & Mukhopadhyay, Kakali, 2019. "Trade Liberalization and Income Inequality: The Case for Pakistan," Conference papers 333125, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Lee, Hiro & Itakura, Ken, 2018. "The welfare and sectoral adjustment effects of mega-regional trade agreements on ASEAN countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 20-32.
    7. Ilaria Fusacchia & Jean Balié & Luca Salvatici, 2022. "The AfCFTA impact on agricultural and food trade: a value added perspective," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 49(1), pages 237-284.
    8. Befus, Tanja & Brockmeier, Martina & Bektasoglu, Beyhan, 2012. "Comparing Gravity Model Specifications to Estimate NTBs Using the GTAP Framework," Conference papers 332178, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Higashi, Akiko, 2016. "Analysis of the impact of the decline in crude oil imports on the Japanese economy," Conference papers 332701, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Lukman OYELAMI & Amara ZONGO, 2022. "Modeling the Impact of Non-Tariff Barriers in Services on Intra-African Trade: Global Trade Analysis Project Model," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2022-08, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    11. Boyer, Ivan & Schuschny, Andrés Ricardo, 2010. "Quantitative assessment of a free trade agreement between MERCOSUR and the European Union," Estudios Estadísticos 4774, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    12. Hertel, Thomas, 2013. "Global Applied General Equilibrium Analysis Using the Global Trade Analysis Project Framework," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 815-876, Elsevier.
    13. Eddy Bekkers & Hugo Rojas-Romagosa, 2018. "Non-tariff Measure Estimations in Different Impact Assessments," RSCAS Working Papers 2018/40, European University Institute.
    14. Nong, Duy & Warziniack, Travis & Countryman, Amanda M. & Grey-Avis, Erin, 2017. "Effects of a Melting Arctic on Risk of Invasive Species Spread," Conference papers 332828, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Kym Anderson, 2016. "Agricultural Trade, Policy Reforms, and Global Food Security," Palgrave Studies in Agricultural Economics and Food Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-137-46925-0, June.
    16. Lee, Hiro & Itakura, Ken, 2017. "Potential Costs of U.S. Withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership," Conference papers 332825, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    17. Aguiar, Angel & Walmsley, Terrie & Carrico, Caitlyn, 2013. "Improving the Representation of the U.S. in the MyGTAP Model with the Disaggregation of Labor and Households," Conference papers 332429, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    18. Hosoe, Nobuhiro, 2021. "Impact of tighter controls on Japanese chemical exports to Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 631-648.
    19. Bekkers, Eddy & Rojas-Romagosa, Hugo, 2016. "Quantitative trade models and the economic assessment of TTIP," Conference papers 332769, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    20. Frank van Tongeren & Robert Koopman & Stephen Karingi & John Reilly & Joseph Francois, 2021. "Back to the Future: A 25-Year Retrospective on GTAP and the Shaping of a New Agenda," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Dixon & Joseph Francois & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe (ed.), POLICY ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel, chapter 3, pages 41-93, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333265. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/gtpurus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.