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The shape of rice agriculture towards 2050

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  • Samal, P.
  • Babu, S.

Abstract

The rice consumption growth is very slow in Asia during 1961-2013 and has slowed down in other continents except Africa. The consumption growth in Africa is strong during recent years. Future additional demand will come mainly due to population growth in Africa and Asia. The production growth during last fifty years led by growth in yield has helped in achieving food security in many Asian countries. Many countries have turned out to be exporters due to impressive yield growth. But, the yield growth has slowed down considerably. The demand for rice by 2050 has been estimated as 506, 562 and 607 million tons at three levels of consumption. Scientists have been able to break the yield ceilings in the last decade, which has brought new hopes of achieving the targeted production. With increasing diversification towards high value crops/commodities, Asia may lose 4 million ha of rice area by the year 2050. However, due to strong rice consumption growth in Africa, the area in that continent will increase by 8 million ha. The speed of rice area expansion and yield enhancement in Africa depends on the level of investment in research and development of infrastructure. Acknowledgement :

Suggested Citation

  • Samal, P. & Babu, S., 2018. "The shape of rice agriculture towards 2050," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277550, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae18:277550
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.277550
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mahabub Hossain, 2007. "Technological progress for sustaining food‐population balance: achievement and challenges," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 37(s1), pages 161-172, December.
    2. Shoichi Ito & E. Wesley F. Peterson & Warren R. Grant, 1989. "Rice in Asia: Is It Becoming an Inferior Good?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(1), pages 32-42.
    3. Pingali, Prabhu L. & Rosegrant, Mark W., 1995. "Agricultural commercialization and diversification: processes and policies," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 171-185, June.
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    1. Nur Atikah Mohidem & Norhashila Hashim & Rosnah Shamsudin & Hasfalina Che Man, 2022. "Rice for Food Security: Revisiting Its Production, Diversity, Rice Milling Process and Nutrient Content," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-28, May.

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