IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/asea26/404829.html

One contract, two deals: Electronic trading design of exchange-traded calendar spreads

Author

Listed:
  • Ma, Richie R.
  • Serra, Teresa
  • Peterson, Brian G.
  • Irwin, Scott H.

Abstract

Electronic trading allows traders to execute calendar spreads simultaneously rather than pairing two outright contracts. Through implied functionality, calendar spreads and outrights are tightly connected, reshaping liquidity provision in outright markets. We examine how the trading architecture of calendar spreads affects the trading outcomes for different groups of agricultural futures market participants. Using Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) intraday data, we focus on spread traders who rely on calendar spreads to meet their trading needs, and outright market makers. Counterfactual analyses show that calendar spreads improve execution quality and generate more informative signals about the futures term structure. Implied functionality increases adverse-selection risk borne by market makers, while leaving their gross revenues largely unchanged. Our findings highlight the trade-offs inherent in the current calendar-spread trading design.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Richie R. & Serra, Teresa & Peterson, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H., 2026. "One contract, two deals: Electronic trading design of exchange-traded calendar spreads," 3rd ASEAN University Symposium for Sustainable Food Systems, Faculty of Agriculture, Chiang Mai University, Thailand, May 21-22, 2026 404829, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:asea26:404829
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.404829
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/404829/files/Richie_Ma_Ma_Serra_Peterson_Irwin_NCCC-134_2026.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.404829?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joel Hasbrouck, 2003. "Intraday Price Formation in U.S. Equity Index Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2375-2400, December.
    2. Baillie, Richard T. & Geoffrey Booth, G. & Tse, Yiuman & Zabotina, Tatyana, 2002. "Price discovery and common factor models," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 309-321, July.
    3. Kun Peng & Zhepeng Hu & Michel A. Robe, 2024. "Maximum order size and market quality: Evidence from a natural experiment in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 803-825, May.
    4. Joseph P. Janzen & Michael K. Adjemian, 2017. "Estimating the Location of World Wheat Price Discovery," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(5), pages 1188-1207.
    5. Hasbrouck, Joel, 1995. "One Security, Many Markets: Determining the Contributions to Price Discovery," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1175-1199, September.
    6. Hasbrouck, Joel, 2007. "Empirical Market Microstructure: The Institutions, Economics, and Econometrics of Securities Trading," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195301649.
    7. Andriy Shkilko & Konstantin Sokolov, 2020. "Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining: Fast Trading, Microwave Connectivity, and Trading Costs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(6), pages 2899-2927, December.
    8. Alex Frino & Michael D. McKenzie, 2002. "The pricing of stock index futures spreads at contract expiration," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(5), pages 451-469, May.
    9. Lehmann, Bruce N., 2002. "Some desiderata for the measurement of price discovery across markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 259-276, July.
    10. Foley, Sean & Putniņš, Tālis J., 2016. "Should we be afraid of the dark? Dark trading and market quality," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(3), pages 456-481.
    11. Glosten, Lawrence R. & Milgrom, Paul R., 1985. "Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 71-100, March.
    12. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    13. Zhepeng Hu & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Algorithmic quoting, trading, and market quality in agricultural commodity futures markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(58), pages 6277-6291, December.
    14. Glosten, Lawrence R, 1994. "Is the Electronic Open Limit Order Book Inevitable?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1127-1161, September.
    15. Putniņš, Tālis J., 2013. "What do price discovery metrics really measure?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 68-83.
    16. Gousgounis, Eleni & Onur, Esen, 2018. "The effect of pit closure on futures trading," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 69-90.
    17. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid‐Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498, October.
    18. Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 127-161, April.
    19. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1235-1258 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Eleni Gousgounis & Esen Onur, 2024. "The end of an era: Who paid the price when the livestock futures pits closed?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(3), pages 1111-1140, May.
    21. Working, Holbrook, 1967. "Tests of a Theory Concerning Floor Trading on Commodity Exchanges," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 7(Supplemen), pages 1-44.
    22. Gonzalo, Jesus & Granger, Clive W J, 1995. "Estimation of Common Long-Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(1), pages 27-35, January.
    23. Zhepeng Hu & Mindy Mallory & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Measuring price discovery between nearby and deferred contracts in storable and nonstorable commodity futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(6), pages 825-840, November.
    24. deB. Harris, Frederick H. & McInish, Thomas H. & Wood, Robert A., 2002. "Security price adjustment across exchanges: an investigation of common factor components for Dow stocks," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 277-308, July.
    25. Cuny, Charles J., 2006. "Why derivatives on derivatives? The case of spread futures," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 132-159, January.
    26. Comerton-Forde, Carole & Putniņš, Tālis J., 2015. "Dark trading and price discovery," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 70-92.
    27. Louis Ederington & Jae Ha Lee, 2002. "Who Trades Futures and How: Evidence from the Heating Oil Futures Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(2), pages 353-374, April.
    28. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid-Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498.
    29. W. Brian Barrett & Robert W. Kolb, 1995. "Analysis of spreads in agricultural futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 69-86, February.
    30. Easley, David & de Prado, Marcos Lopez & O'Hara, Maureen, 2016. "Discerning information from trade data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 269-285.
    31. Richie R. Ma & Teresa Serra, 2025. "Is liquidity provision informative? Evidence from agricultural futures markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 107(1), pages 125-151, January.
    32. Chung, Kee H. & Lee, Albert J. & Rösch, Dominik, 2020. "Tick size, liquidity for small and large orders, and price informativeness: Evidence from the Tick Size Pilot Program," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(3), pages 879-899.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Richie & Serra, Teresa, 2026. "Fast but noisy: Why options react first in agricultural derivatives markets," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404352, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Vinay Patel, 2015. "Price Discovery in US and Australian Stock and Options Markets," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 27, July-Dece.
    3. Vinay Patel, 2015. "Price Discovery in US and Australian Stock and Options Markets," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 6-2015, January-A.
    4. Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Price Discovery in High Resolution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 395-430.
    5. Damien Wallace & Petko S. Kalev & Guanhua Lian, 2019. "The evolution of price discovery in us equity and derivatives markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1122-1136, September.
    6. Pascual, Roberto & Pascual-Fuster, Bartolomé, 2014. "The relative contribution of ask and bid quotes to price discovery," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 129-150.
    7. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    8. Zhou, Xinquan & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Gohin, Alexandre & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Debie, Philippe, 2023. "Microstructure and high-frequency price discovery in the soybean complex," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Ibikunle, Gbenga & Aquilina, Matteo & Diaz-Rainey, Ivan & Sun, Yuxin, 2021. "City goes dark: Dark trading and adverse selection in aggregate markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-22.
    10. Çağlayan-Gümüş, Ayşe & Karahan, Cenk C., 2024. "Information content of the limit order book: A cross-sectional analysis in Borsa Istanbul," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    11. Hatheway, Frank & Kwan, Amy & Zheng, Hui, 2017. "An Empirical Analysis of Market Segmentation on U.S. Equity Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(6), pages 2399-2427, December.
    12. Zema, Sebastiano Michele, 2022. "Directed acyclic graph based information shares for price discovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Christoph Schmidhammer & Sebastian Lobe & Klaus Röder, 2016. "The day the index rose 11 %: a clinical study on price discovery reversal," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 79-106, January.
    14. Lockwood, Jimmy & Lockwood, Larry & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay & Yang, Dongxiao, 2022. "The information content of ETF options," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    15. Liwei Jin & Xianghui Yuan & Shihao Wang & Peiran Li & Feng Lian, 2022. "Trades or quotes: Which drives price discovery? Evidence from Chinese index futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2235-2247, December.
    16. Donald Lien & Zijun Wang, 2019. "Quantile information share," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 38-55, January.
    17. Ran Xiao, 2019. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in Emerging Market Currencies," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 5-2019, January-A.
    18. Rzayev, Khaladdin & Ibikunle, Gbenga & Steffen, Tom, 2023. "The market quality implications of speed in cross-platform trading: Evidence from Frankfurt-London microwave," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Ibikunle, Gbenga, 2018. "Trading places: Price leadership and the competition for order flow," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 178-200.
    20. Teresa Vollmer & Helmut Herwartz & Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel, 2020. "Measuring price discovery in the European wheat market using the partial cointegration approach," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(3), pages 1173-1200.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:asea26:404829. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aseanid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.