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Investment under Uncertainty - the Case of Repeated Investment Options

  • Nikolaj Malchow-Moeller
  • Bo Jellesmark Thorsen

    ()

    (Department of Economics, University of Aarhus, Denmark)

This paper considers optimal investment behaviour when investment options evolve deterministically or stochastically over time and investments are irreversible and indivisible. It extends the standard investment-under-uncertainty set-up with a single investment option to the case of repeated options. Analytical solutions are derived for the deterministic case and for the case of a geometric Brownian motion. It is argued that when investment options are repeated, the simple net-present-value rule in general fares better as an investment criterion than the rule derived from the single-option approach. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses reveal that the effects of parameter changes are very different when using the repeated-options approach instead of the single-option approach.

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File URL: ftp://ftp.econ.au.dk/afn/wp/00/wp00_15.pdf
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Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2000-15.

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Length: 21
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Handle: RePEc:aah:aarhec:2000-15
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/

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  1. Sanford J. Grossman & Guy Laroque, 1987. "Asset Pricing and Optimal Portfolio Choice in the Presence of Illiquid Durable Consumption Goods," NBER Working Papers 2369, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Xue, Licun, 2002. "Stable agreements in infinitely repeated games," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 165-176, March.
  3. Rosholm, Michael & Svarer, Michael, 2001. "Structurally dependent competing risks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 169-173, November.
  4. Hindy, Ayman & Huang, Chi-fu, 1993. "Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Rules with Durability and Local Substitution," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 85-121, January.
  5. Nikolaj Malchow-Moeller & Bo Jellesmark Thorsen, . "A Dynamic Agricultural Household Model with Uncertain Income and Irreversible and Indivisible Investments under Credit Constraints," Economics Working Papers 2000-7, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  6. Cuoco, Domenico & Liu, Hong, 2000. "Optimal consumption of a divisible durable good," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 561-613, April.
  7. Ricardo J. Caballero, 1991. "Durable Goods: An Explanation for Their Slow Adjustment," NBER Working Papers 3748, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Elliott, Graham & Jansson, Michael, 2003. "Testing for unit roots with stationary covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 75-89, July.
  9. Mauer, David C. & Ott, Steven H., 1995. "Investment under Uncertainty: The Case of Replacement Investment Decisions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(04), pages 581-605, December.
  10. Niels Haldrup & Peter Lildholdt, 2005. "Local power functions of tests for double unit roots," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 59(2), pages 159-179.
  11. Effrosyni Diamantoudi & Licun Xue, 2003. "Farsighted stability in hedonic games," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 39-61, 08.
  12. McDonald, Robert & Siegel, Daniel, 1986. "The Value of Waiting to Invest," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 101(4), pages 707-27, November.
  13. Jamsheed Shorish, . "Quasi-Static Macroeconomic Systems," Economics Working Papers 2000-3, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  14. Licun Xue, . "A Notion of Consistent Rationalizability - Between Weak and Pearce's Extensive Form Rationalizability," Economics Working Papers 2000-4, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
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