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Austrian Agriculture 2020-2050. Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Production, Livestock and Production Systems

Author

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  • Franz Sinabell
  • Martin Schönhart
  • Erwin Schmid

    (University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Institute for Sustainable Economic Development)

Abstract

Agriculture contributes approximately 10 percent to the emission of greenhouse gases in Austria. Therefore, it is important to evaluate the long-term development of the sector in order to assess whether Austria is achieving its emission targets. In three scenarios, adaptation paths of Austrian agriculture to changed price developments and political framework conditions up to 2050 are examined. The reduction of arable land observed so far was continued in the scenarios. The results show sustained production incentives for milk production. Contrary to recent observations, the results indicate a reduction in poultry meat production. In arable farming, maize production will increase, mainly due to the assumed productivity gains.

Suggested Citation

  • Franz Sinabell & Martin Schönhart & Erwin Schmid, 2018. "Austrian Agriculture 2020-2050. Scenarios and Sensitivity Analyses on Land Use, Production, Livestock and Production Systems," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 61571.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:61571
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Markus F. Hofreither & Franz Sinabell, 2014. "Die Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik 2014 bis 2020," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(3), pages 213-222, March.
    10. Franz Sinabell & Julia Bock-Schappelwein & Christina Mayer & Martin Kniepert & Erwin Schmid & Martin Schönhart & Gerhard Streicher, 2011. "Indikatoren für die Auswirkungen des Programms der Ländlichen Entwicklung 2007/2013 in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 41207.
    11. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2005. "Austrian Agriculture 2005-2020. Consequences of Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emission," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58401.
    12. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid, 2003. "Entkopplung der Direktzahlungen. Konsequenzen für Österreichs Landwirtschaft," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 23706.
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    16. Franz Sinabell & Erwin Schmid & Martin Schönhart, 2011. "Austrian Agriculture 2010-2030. Consequences of Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gases," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58402.
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    Keywords

    Agriculture; Austria; Forecasts;
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