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Global Economic Prospects, June 2018

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  • World Bank Group

Abstract

Published semiannually, Global Economic Prospects includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries. Global activity is firming broadly as expected. Manufacturing and trade are picking up, confidence is improving, and international financing conditions remain benign. Global growth is projected to strengthen in 2018-19, in line with January forecasts. In emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), growth is predicted to recover in 2017-19, as obstacles to growth in commodity exporters diminish amid moderately rising commodity prices, and activity in commodity importers remains robust. Risks to the global outlook remain tilted to the downside. These include increased trade protectionism; elevated economic policy uncertainty; the possibility of financial market disruptions; and, over the longer term, weaker potential growth. A policy priority for EMDEs is to rebuild monetary and fiscal space that could be drawn on were such risks to materialize. Over the longer term, structural policies that support investment and trade are critical to boost EMDE productivity and potential growth.

Suggested Citation

  • World Bank Group, 2018. "Global Economic Prospects, June 2018," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 29801, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbpubs:29801
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    File URL: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/29801/9781464812576.pdf?sequence=8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vilas Pathikonda & Thomas Farole, 2017. "The Capabilities Driving Participation in Global Value Chains," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 1-26, February.
    2. Raju Huidrom & M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Franziska L. Ohnsorge, 2020. "How important are spillovers from major emerging markets?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 47-63, March.
    3. Halil Dundar & Benoit Millot & Yevgeniya Savchenko & Harsha Aturupane & Tilkaratne A. Piyasiri, 2014. "Building the Skills for Economic Growth and Competitiveness in Sri Lanka," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 18409, December.
    4. Kathleen Beegle & Luc Christiaensen & Andrew Dabalen & Isis Gaddis, 2016. "Poverty in a Rising Africa," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 22575, December.
    5. Youssouf Kiendrebeogo & Alexandru Minea, 2017. "Financial Factors and Manufacturing Exports: Firm-Level Evidence From Egypt," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2197-2213, December.
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    1. Soraya Caro Vargas, editor, 2020. "Economic Corridors in Asia: Paradigm of Integration? A Reflection for Latin America," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Finanzas, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales, number 139, August.
    2. Sharma, Saurabh & Behera, Harendra, 2022. "A dissection of Indian growth using a DSGE filter," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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