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Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Mountain Hydrology : Development of a Methodology through a Case Study in the Andes of Peru

Author

Listed:
  • Walter Vergara
  • Alejandro Deeb
  • Irene Leino
  • Akio Kitoh
  • Marisa Escobar

Abstract

The objective of study of the impacts of climate change on mountain hydrology is to develop a methodology to assess the net impacts of climate change on the hydrological response in mountainous regions. This is done through a case study in the Peruvian Andes. There are few examples of predictions of the impact of climate change on resource availability and even fewer examples of the applications of such predictions to planning for sustainable economic development. This report presents a summary of the efforts of a Bank energy and climate change team to develop methodological tools for the assessment of climate impacts on surface hydrology in the Peruvian Andes. The importance of analyzing the potential climate impacts on hydrology in Peru arises in part from concerns about the retreat of tropical glaciers, the drying of unique Andean wetland ecosystems, as well as increased weather variability and weather extremes, all of which will affect water regulation. The study, together with a recently published report by the World Bank, Peru Overcoming the Barriers to Hydropower, is intended to inform plans for energy development in Peru and enable provides some insights into how hydrology may behave under future climate scenarios in Peru, the main purpose is to contribute to the methodological approaches to anticipate impacts from climate change in the Andes Region and other mountain ranges

Suggested Citation

  • Walter Vergara & Alejandro Deeb & Irene Leino & Akio Kitoh & Marisa Escobar, 2011. "Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on Mountain Hydrology : Development of a Methodology through a Case Study in the Andes of Peru," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2278, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbpubs:2278
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Reto Knutti & Thomas F. Stocker & Fortunat Joos & Gian-Kasper Plattner, 2002. "Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles," Nature, Nature, vol. 416(6882), pages 719-723, April.
    2. M. C. Thomson & F. J. Doblas-Reyes & S. J. Mason & R. Hagedorn & S. J. Connor & T. Phindela & A. P. Morse & T. N. Palmer, 2006. "Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7076), pages 576-579, February.
    3. Walter Vergara & Sebastian M. Scholz, 2011. "Assessment of the Risk of Amazon Dieback," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2531, December.
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    1. Parvin Golfam & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh, 2022. "Performance Indexes Analysis of the Reservoir-Hydropower Plant System Affected by Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 5127-5162, October.

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