IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v388y2018icp136-144.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling the potential distribution of an invasive mosquito species: comparative evaluation of four machine learning methods and their combinations

Author

Listed:
  • Früh, Linus
  • Kampen, Helge
  • Kerkow, Antje
  • Schaub, Günter A.
  • Walther, Doreen
  • Wieland, Ralf

Abstract

We tested four machine learning methods for their performance in the classification of mosquito species occurrence related to weather variables: support vector machine, random forest, logistic regression and decision tree. The objective was to find a method which showed the most accurate model for the prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Aedes japonicus japonicus, an invasive mosquito species in Germany.

Suggested Citation

  • Früh, Linus & Kampen, Helge & Kerkow, Antje & Schaub, Günter A. & Walther, Doreen & Wieland, Ralf, 2018. "Modelling the potential distribution of an invasive mosquito species: comparative evaluation of four machine learning methods and their combinations," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 388(C), pages 136-144.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:388:y:2018:i:c:p:136-144
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.08.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380018302801
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.08.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Holloway, Paul & Miller, Jennifer A., 2017. "A quantitative synthesis of the movement concepts used within species distribution modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 356(C), pages 91-103.
    2. Costa, Hugo & Ponte, Nuno B. & Azevedo, Eduardo B. & Gil, Artur, 2015. "Fuzzy set theory for predicting the potential distribution and cost-effective monitoring of invasive species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 316(C), pages 122-132.
    3. Wieland, Ralf & Kerkow, Antje & Früh, Linus & Kampen, Helge & Walther, Doreen, 2017. "Automated feature selection for a machine learning approach toward modeling a mosquito distribution," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 352(C), pages 108-112.
    4. Liu, Fang & McShea, William J. & Li, Diqiang, 2017. "Correlating habitat suitability with landscape connectivity: A case study of Sichuan golden monkey in China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 37-46.
    5. M. C. Thomson & F. J. Doblas-Reyes & S. J. Mason & R. Hagedorn & S. J. Connor & T. Phindela & A. P. Morse & T. N. Palmer, 2006. "Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7076), pages 576-579, February.
    6. Tsonkova, Penka & Böhm, Christian & Quinkenstein, Ansgar & Freese, Dirk, 2015. "Application of partial order ranking to identify enhancement potentials for the provision of selected ecosystem services by different land use strategies," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 112-121.
    7. Adi L Tarca & Vincent J Carey & Xue-wen Chen & Roberto Romero & Sorin Drăghici, 2007. "Machine Learning and Its Applications to Biology," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(6), pages 1-11, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wieland, Ralf & Kuhls, Katrin & Lentz, Hartmut H.K. & Conraths, Franz & Kampen, Helge & Werner, Doreen, 2021. "Combined climate and regional mosquito habitat model based on machine learning," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 452(C).
    2. Kerkow, Antje & Wieland, Ralf & Gethmann, Jörn M. & Hölker, Franz & Lentz, Hartmut H.K., 2022. "Linking a compartment model for West Nile virus with a flight simulator for vector mosquitoes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 464(C).
    3. Damiana Ravasi & Francesca Mangili & David Huber & Laura Azzimonti & Lukas Engeler & Nicola Vermes & Giacomo Del Rio & Valeria Guidi & Mauro Tonolla & Eleonora Flacio, 2022. "Risk-Based Mapping Tools for Surveillance and Control of the Invasive Mosquito Aedes albopictus in Switzerland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-22, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stephen Gang Wu & Yuxuan Wang & Wu Jiang & Tolutola Oyetunde & Ruilian Yao & Xuehong Zhang & Kazuyuki Shimizu & Yinjie J Tang & Forrest Sheng Bao, 2016. "Rapid Prediction of Bacterial Heterotrophic Fluxomics Using Machine Learning and Constraint Programming," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, April.
    2. Jaewon Kwak & Huiseong Noh & Soojun Kim & Vijay P. Singh & Seung Jin Hong & Duckgil Kim & Keonhaeng Lee & Narae Kang & Hung Soo Kim, 2014. "Future Climate Data from RCP 4.5 and Occurrence of Malaria in Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Wieland, Ralf & Kuhls, Katrin & Lentz, Hartmut H.K. & Conraths, Franz & Kampen, Helge & Werner, Doreen, 2021. "Combined climate and regional mosquito habitat model based on machine learning," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 452(C).
    4. Elorm Donkor & Matthew Kelly & Cecilia Eliason & Charles Amotoh & Darren J. Gray & Archie C. A. Clements & Kinley Wangdi, 2021. "A Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Malaria in the Greater Accra Region of Ghana from 2015 to 2019," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Musemwa, L. & Muchenje, V. & Mushunje, A. & Zhou, L., 2012. "The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Production amongst the Resource-Poor Farmers of Third World Countries: A Review," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society (AESS), vol. 2(04), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Sietz, Diana & Boschutz, Maria & Klein, Richard JT & Lotsch, Alexander, 2008. "Mainstreaming climate adaptation into development assistance in Mozambique: Institutional barriers and opportunities," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4711, The World Bank.
    7. Kerkow, Antje & Wieland, Ralf & Gethmann, Jörn M. & Hölker, Franz & Lentz, Hartmut H.K., 2022. "Linking a compartment model for West Nile virus with a flight simulator for vector mosquitoes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 464(C).
    8. Singer, Alexander & Schweiger, Oliver & Kühn, Ingolf & Johst, Karin, 2018. "Constructing a hybrid species distribution model from standard large-scale distribution data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 373(C), pages 39-52.
    9. Lindsey Jones & Clara Champalle & Sabrina Chesterman & Laura Cramer & Todd A. Crane, 2017. "Constraining and enabling factors to using long-term climate information in decision-making," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 551-572, July.
    10. Asa Ben-Hur & Cheng Soon Ong & Sören Sonnenburg & Bernhard Schölkopf & Gunnar Rätsch, 2008. "Support Vector Machines and Kernels for Computational Biology," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(10), pages 1-10, October.
    11. Accatino, Francesco & Tonda, Alberto & Dross, Camille & Léger, François & Tichit, Muriel, 2019. "Trade-offs and synergies between livestock production and other ecosystem services," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 58-72.
    12. Wang, Jia & Hu, Jun & Shen, Shifei & Zhuang, Jun & Ni, Shunjiang, 2020. "Crime risk analysis through big data algorithm with urban metrics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    13. Lior Shamir & John D Delaney & Nikita Orlov & D Mark Eckley & Ilya G Goldberg, 2010. "Pattern Recognition Software and Techniques for Biological Image Analysis," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(11), pages 1-10, November.
    14. Joana Rosado Coelho & João André Carriço & Daniel Knight & Jose-Luis Martínez & Ian Morrissey & Marco Rinaldo Oggioni & Ana Teresa Freitas, 2013. "The Use of Machine Learning Methodologies to Analyse Antibiotic and Biocide Susceptibility in Staphylococcus aureus," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(2), pages 1-10, February.
    15. Shun Adachi, 2017. "Rigid geometry solves “curse of dimensionality” effects in clustering methods: An application to omics data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(6), pages 1-20, June.
    16. Parag Parashar & Chun Han Chen & Chandni Akbar & Sze Ming Fu & Tejender S Rawat & Sparsh Pratik & Rajat Butola & Shih Han Chen & Albert S Lin, 2019. "Analytics-statistics mixed training and its fitness to semisupervised manufacturing," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-18, August.
    17. LonÄ arić, Željka & K. Hackenberger, Branimir, 2013. "Stage and age structured Aedes vexans and Culex pipiens (Diptera: Culicidae) climate-dependent matrix population model," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 82-94.
    18. Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and the Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), 2007. "Climate Change and Human Development in Africa: Assessing the Risks and Vulnerability of Climate Change in Kenya, Malawi and Ethiopia," Human Development Occasional Papers (1992-2007) HDOCPA-2007-08, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
    19. Paulina Phoobane & Muthoni Masinde & Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi, 2022. "Predicting Infectious Diseases: A Bibliometric Review on Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-20, February.
    20. Mohd Danish Khan & Hong Ha Thi Vu & Quang Tuan Lai & Ji Whan Ahn, 2019. "Aggravation of Human Diseases and Climate Change Nexus," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-26, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:388:y:2018:i:c:p:136-144. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.