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An Empirical Analysis of Rock Climbers' Response to Hazard Warnings

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  • Paul M. Jakus
  • W. Douglass Shaw

Abstract

This paper reports the results of a field test of the hazard warning system used in rock climbing. The system is succinct; it differentiates between magnitudes of hazard; and it establishes a “warnings vocabulary.” The empirical hazard response models include an “individuating factor,” which influences the likelihood of injury, and the severity of injury as independent variables. The models indicate that climbers do assess a “personal” probability of injury and incorporate the hazard warning message when choosing climbing routes. Climbers of greater technical ability are more likely to climb hazardous routes, but they mitigate the likelihood of the hazardous outcome by reducing the technical difficulty of the hazardous route chosen. The response increases with the degree of hazard involved.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul M. Jakus & W. Douglass Shaw, 1996. "An Empirical Analysis of Rock Climbers' Response to Hazard Warnings," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(4), pages 581-586, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:16:y:1996:i:4:p:581-586
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1996.tb01103.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wesley A. Magat & W. Kip Viscusi, 1992. "Informational Approaches to Regulation," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026213277x, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Morey, Edward R. & Kritzberg, David, 2012. "It's not where you do it, it's who you do it with?," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 176-191.
    2. Bernd Frick & Anica Rose, 2017. "Over the top: Team composition and performance in Himalayan expeditions," Working Papers Dissertations 24, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
    3. Shonkwiler, J.S. & Hanley, Nick, 2000. "A New Approach to Random Utility Modeling with Application to Evaluating Rock Climbing in Scotland," Western Region Archives 321673, Western Region - Western Extension Directors Association (WEDA).
    4. A. Dana Ménard & Chris Houser & Robert W. Brander & Sarah Trimble & Alexandra Scaman, 2018. "The psychology of beach users: importance of confirmation bias, action, and intention to improving rip current safety," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(2), pages 953-973, November.
    5. Nick Hanley & Robert Wright & Gary Koop, 2002. "Modelling Recreation Demand Using Choice Experiments: Climbing in Scotland," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 22(3), pages 449-466, July.
    6. Mary Riddel & Sonja Kolstoe, 2013. "Heterogeneity in life-duration preferences: Are risky recreationists really more risk loving?," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 191-213, April.
    7. Lea Nicita & W. Douglass Shaw & Giovanni Signorello, 2018. "Valuing the Benefits of Rock Climbing and the Welfare Gains from Decreasing Injury Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2258-2274, November.

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