IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/revfec/v43y2025i2p135-146.html

Quantile connectedness of artificial intelligence tokens with the energy sector

Author

Listed:
  • Farooq Malik
  • Zaghum Umar

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) tokens are digital assets that integrate AI capabilities by operating on decentralized networks using AI algorithms in order to automate tasks, make intelligent decisions, and swiftly adapt based on data. Given that AI tokens are energy intensive assets, in this paper, we explore how major AI tokens are connected to oil, natural gas, and biofuel under extreme market movements using daily data from June 2019 to March 2024. We find that AI tokens are net transmitters of shocks while the entire energy sector is the net receiver of shocks at the return level. However, both AI tokens and oil are net transmitters of shocks at the volatility level. We also show that total dynamic connectedness significantly increased during the start of COVID‐19 pandemic and the Russian‐Ukraine war. Our quantile‐based connectedness analysis further shows that return and volatility connectedness is considerably higher at low and high quantiles, indicating that shocks to AI tokens spread more intensely during extreme market movements. These results indicate that AI tokens are subject to contagion and thus offer inadequate portfolio diversification under major market movements.

Suggested Citation

  • Farooq Malik & Zaghum Umar, 2025. "Quantile connectedness of artificial intelligence tokens with the energy sector," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 135-146, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:revfec:v:43:y:2025:i:2:p:135-146
    DOI: 10.1002/rfe.1224
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/rfe.1224
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/rfe.1224?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Umar, Zaghum & Trabelsi, Nader & Zaremba, Adam, 2021. "Oil shocks and equity markets: The case of GCC and BRICS economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    2. Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2002. "International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1137-1187.
    3. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    4. Chen, Yuxuan & Chiu, Junmao & Chung, Huimin, 2022. "Givers or Receivers? Return and volatility spillovers between Fintech and the Traditional Financial Industry," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    5. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Kapar, Burcu & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "Quantifying the volatility spillover dynamics between financial stress and US financial sectors: Evidence from QVAR connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    6. Katya Malinova & Andreas Park, 2023. "Tokenomics: When Tokens Beat Equity," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(11), pages 6568-6583, November.
    7. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    8. Ahmed Elsayed Ahmed & Mabruk Syed Billah Mabruk Syed & John W. Goodell & Sinda Hadhri, 2024. "Examining connections between the fourth industrial revolution and energy markets," Post-Print hal-05240433, HAL.
    9. Mokyr, Joel, 2018. "The past and the future of innovation: Some lessons from economic history," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 13-26.
    10. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Billah, Mabruk & Goodell, John W. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2024. "Examining connections between the fourth industrial revolution and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Tanveer Ahmad & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, 2022. "Extreme tail network analysis of cryptocurrencies and trading strategies," Post-Print hal-05086285, HAL.
    12. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Tail connectedness between artificial intelligence tokens, artificial intelligence ETFs, and traditional asset classes," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    13. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Ahmad, Tanveer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Extreme tail network analysis of cryptocurrencies and trading strategies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    14. Paul P. Momtaz, 2021. "The Pricing and Performance of Cryptocurrency," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4-5), pages 367-380, March.
    15. Fleming, Jeff & Kirby, Chris & Ostdiek, Barbara, 1998. "Information and volatility linkages in the stock, bond, and money markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 111-137, July.
    16. Aharon, David Y. & Butt, Hassan Anjum & Jaffri, Ali & Nichols, Brian, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility in the cryptocurrency market: New evidence from models with structural breaks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    17. Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
    18. Billah, Mabruk & Hadhri, Sinda & Balli, Faruk & Sahabuddin, Mohammad, 2024. "Exploring the dynamic links, implications for hedging and investment strategies between Sukuk and commodity market volatility: Evidence from country level analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 350-371.
    19. Diebold, Francis X. & Yılmaz, Kamil, 2014. "On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 119-134.
    20. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S. & Elsayed, Ahmed H., 2022. "Bubbles and crashes in cryptocurrencies: Interdependence, contagion, or asset rotation?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    21. Jareño, Francisco & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Artificial intelligence-based tokens: Fresh evidence of connectedness with artificial intelligence-based equities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    22. Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Yarovaya, Larisa & Zięba, Damian, 2022. "High-frequency connectedness between Bitcoin and other top-traded crypto assets during the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    23. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and spillover among carbon, climate, and energy futures: Determinants and portfolio risk management implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    24. Baur, Dirk G. & Hoang, Lai T., 2021. "A crypto safe haven against Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    25. Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2023. "Decentralization through Tokenization," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 247-299, February.
    26. Corbet, Shaen & Meegan, Andrew & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2018. "Exploring the dynamic relationships between cryptocurrencies and other financial assets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 28-34.
    27. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shaofeng Zhang & Zheng Zou & Qinghua Zou, 2025. "Multi-scale quantile connectedness networks under fintech integration: evidence from China’s financial markets," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Naveed Khan & Anam Tariq & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah & Hassan Javed, 2026. "Quantile time–frequency connectedness and spillover between artificial intelligence, clean energy, and traditional asset classes: insights and portfolio implications," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-39, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Tail connectedness between artificial intelligence tokens, artificial intelligence ETFs, and traditional asset classes," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Matthew Ntow‐Gyamfi, 2023. "Quantile price convergence and spillover effects among Bitcoin, Fintech, and artificial intelligence stocks," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 187-205, March.
    3. Su, Xianfang & Zhao, Yachao, 2025. "Can fourth industrial revolution assets provide diversification benefits for traditional sectoral stocks? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Ustaoglu, Erkan, 2025. "Static and dynamic return and volatility connectedness between transportation tokens and transportation indices: Evidence from quantile connectedness approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(PA).
    5. Ustaoglu, Buse & Ustaoglu, Erkan, 2025. "Music stocks and music tokens: Extreme connectedness and portfolio applications," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Naveed Khan & Anam Tariq & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah & Hassan Javed, 2026. "Quantile time–frequency connectedness and spillover between artificial intelligence, clean energy, and traditional asset classes: insights and portfolio implications," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-39, December.
    7. Mbarek, Marouene & Msolli, Badreddine, 2025. "Tokens and cryptocurrencies: Evidence from asymmetric frequency connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PA).
    8. Wang, Wei & Enilov, Martin & Stankov, Petar, 2025. "Can cryptocurrency or gold rescue BRICS stocks amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    9. Billah, Mabruk, 2025. "Unraveling financial interconnectedness: A quantile VAR model analysis of AI-based assets, sukuk, and islamic equity indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. Su, Xianfang & Zhao, Yachao, 2025. "Asymmetric time-frequency risk spillovers between the Fourth Industrial Revolution assets and commodity futures: Is economic policy uncertainty a driving factor?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Mbarek, Marouene & Msolli, Badreddine, 2025. "Assessing linkages between supply chain tokens and other assets: Evidence from a time-frequency quantile connectedness approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    12. Mobeen Ur Rehman & Neeraj Nautiyal & Xuan Vinh Vo & Muhammad Kashif & Sang Hoon Kang, 2026. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness and networks across cryptocurrency markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-35, December.
    13. Shoaib Ali & Youssef Manel, 2025. "Unlocking the diversification benefits of DeFi for ASEAN stock market portfolios: a quantile study," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, December.
    14. Thomas F. P. Wiesen & Lakshya Bharadwaj, 2023. "Cryptocurrency Connectedness: Does Controlling for the Cross-Correlations Matter?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(20), pages 2873-2880, November.
    15. Yousaf, Imran & Pham, Linh & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Dynamic spillovers between leading cryptocurrencies and derivatives tokens: Insights from a quantile VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Malik, Farooq & Umar, Zaghum, 2024. "Quantile connectedness of oil price shocks with socially responsible investments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    17. Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2025. "Are base layer blockchains establishing a new sector? Evidence from a connectedness approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB).
    18. Al-Fayoumi, Nedal & Bouri, Elie & Abuzayed, Bana, 2023. "Decomposed oil price shocks and GCC stock market sector returns and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    19. Jareño, Francisco & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Artificial intelligence-based tokens: Fresh evidence of connectedness with artificial intelligence-based equities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Umar, Zaghum & Aziz, Saqib & Tawil, Dima, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 induced panic on the return and volatility of precious metals," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:revfec:v:43:y:2025:i:2:p:135-146. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1873-5924 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.