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Consistent assessments of pathways toward sustainable development and climate stabilization

Author

Listed:
  • Keigo Akimoto
  • Fuminori Sano
  • Ayami Hayashi
  • Takashi Homma
  • Junichiro Oda
  • Kenichi Wada
  • Miyuki Nagashima
  • Kohko Tokushige
  • Toshimasa Tomoda

Abstract

Many of the numerous difficult issues facing the world today involve relationships entailing trade‐offs and synergies. This study quantitatively assesses some alternative scenarios using integrated assessment models, and provides several indicators relating to sustainable development and climate change, such as indicators of income (per capita GDP), poverty, water stress, food access, sustainable energy use, energy security, and ocean acidification, with high consistencies among the indicators within a scenario. According to the analyses, economic growth helps improve many of the indicators for sustainable development. On the other hand, climate change will induce some severe impacts such as ocean acidification under a non‐climate intervention scenario (baseline scenario). Deep emission reductions, such as to 2°C above the pre‐industrial level, could cause some sustainable development indicators to worsen. There are complex trade‐offs between climate change mitigation levels and several sustainable development indicators. A delicately balanced approach to economic growth will be necessary for sustainable development and responses to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Keigo Akimoto & Fuminori Sano & Ayami Hayashi & Takashi Homma & Junichiro Oda & Kenichi Wada & Miyuki Nagashima & Kohko Tokushige & Toshimasa Tomoda, 2012. "Consistent assessments of pathways toward sustainable development and climate stabilization," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(4), pages 231-244, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:natres:v:36:y:2012:i:4:p:231-244
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-8947.2012.01460.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Keigo Akimoto & Fuminori Sano & Junichiro Oda & Takashi Homma & Ullash Kumar Rout & Toshimasa Tomoda, 2008. "Global emission reductions through a sectoral intensity target scheme," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(sup1), pages 46-59, December.
    3. Toshihiko Masui & Kenichi Matsumoto & Yasuaki Hijioka & Tsuguki Kinoshita & Toru Nozawa & Sawako Ishiwatari & Etsushi Kato & P. Shukla & Yoshiki Yamagata & Mikiko Kainuma, 2011. "An emission pathway for stabilization at 6 Wm −2 radiative forcing," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 59-76, November.
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    5. Global Energy Assessment Writing Team,, 2012. "Global Energy Assessment," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107005198.
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    Cited by:

    1. Oda, Junichiro & Akimoto, Keigo & Tomoda, Toshimasa, 2013. "Long-term global availability of steel scrap," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 81-91.
    2. Joseph Akpan & Oludolapo Olanrewaju, 2023. "Sustainable Energy Development: History and Recent Advances," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-44, October.
    3. Ayami Hayashi & Keigo Akimoto & Takashi Homma & Kenichi Wada & Toshimasa Tomoda, 2014. "Change in the Annual Water Withdrawal-to-Availability Ratio and Its Major Causes: An Evaluation for Asian River Basins Under Socioeconomic Development and Climate Change Scenarios," Energy and Environment Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 4(2), pages 1-34, June.

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