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Combining heterogeneous classifiers for stock selection

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  • George Albanis
  • Roy Batchelor

Abstract

Combining unbiased forecasts of continuous variables necessarily reduces the forecast error variance below that of a typical individual forecast. However, this does not necessarily hold for forecasts of discrete variables, or where the costs of errors are not directly related to the error variance. This paper investigates the benefits of combining forecasts of outperforming shares, based on one linear and four non‐linear statistical classification techniques, including neural network and recursive partitioning methods. All produce excess returns. Combining by simple ‘majority voting’ improves accuracy and profitability. Much greater gains come from applying the ‘unanimity principle’, whereby a share is not held in the high‐performing portfolio unless all classifiers agree. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • George Albanis & Roy Batchelor, 2007. "Combining heterogeneous classifiers for stock selection," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1‐2), pages 1-21, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:isacfm:v:15:y:2007:i:1-2:p:1-21
    DOI: 10.1002/isaf.282
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    2. Malliaris, A.G. & Malliaris, Mary, 2011. "Are foreign currency markets interdependent? evidence from data mining technologies," MPRA Paper 35261, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Salim Lahmiri, 2017. "A two‐step system for direct bank telemarketing outcome classification," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 49-55, January.
    4. Jun, So Young & Kim, Dong Sung & Jung, Suk Yoon & Jun, Sang Gyung & Kim, Jong Woo, 2022. "Stock investment strategy combining earnings power index and machine learning," International Journal of Accounting Information Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    5. Salim Lahmiri, 2020. "A predictive system integrating intrinsic mode functions, artificial neural networks, and genetic algorithms for forecasting S&P500 intra‐day data," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 55-65, April.
    6. Javier Bajo & Philippe Mathieu & María José Escalona, 2017. "Multi‐agent technologies in economics," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(2-3), pages 59-61, April.

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