IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/agribz/v5y1989i4p347-360.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement: A forecast simulation analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas I. Wahl

    (Department of Economics and the Meat Export Research Center, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa)

  • Gary W. Williams

    (Department of Economics and the Meat Export Research Center, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa)

  • Dermot J. Hayes

    (Department of Economics and the Meat Export Research Center, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa)

Abstract

This article utilizes dynamic simulation analysis to consider the likely consequences of the 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement (BMAA) on the Japanese livestock industry and beef imports. The results lead to a number of conclusions. Beef imports will increase to the new quota level in the first three years and continue increasing at about the same rate thereafter. The shift from the import quota to the import tariff in 1991 will have little effect on imports or prices. Finally, the US share of increasing Japanese beef imports will increase at the expense of Australia and New Zealand.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas I. Wahl & Gary W. Williams & Dermot J. Hayes, 1989. "The 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement: A forecast simulation analysis," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(4), pages 347-360.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:347-360
    DOI: 10.1002/1520-6297(198907)5:4<347::AID-AGR2720050405>3.0.CO;2-H
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Karl D. Meilke & G.R. Griffith, 1981. "An application of the Market Share Approach to the demand for soyabean and rapeseed oil," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 85-97.
    2. Wahl, Thomas I. & Hayes, Dermot J. & Williams, Gary W., 1987. "Japanese Beef Policy and GATT Negotiations: An Analysis of Reducing Assistance to Beef Producers," Working Papers 51242, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    3. Chalfant, James A, 1987. "A Globally Flexible, Almost Ideal Demand System," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(2), pages 233-242, April.
    4. Miyazaki, Akira, 1986. "Production and Consumption of Beef in Japan," Western Region Archives 279353, Western Region - Western Extension Directors Association (WEDA).
    5. Dermot J. Hayes & Thomas I. Wahl & Gary W. Williams, 1990. "Testing Restrictions on a Model of Japanese Meat Demand," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(3), pages 556-566.
    6. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-326, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lin, Biing-Hwan & Makus, Larry D., 1990. "TOTAL IMPORTS AND IMPORT PATTERNS OF BARLEY INTO JAPAN: Implications of the 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement," A.E. Research Series 140525, University of Idaho, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology.
    2. Morison, Julian B. & Officer, Linda J., 1992. "Factors Affecting Japanese Investment in the Australian Beef Industry," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 60(03), pages 1-12, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wahl, Thomas Iver, 1989. "Modeling dynamic adjustment in Japanese livestock markets under trade liberalization," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000010093, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Hongbo Liu & Kevin A. Parton & Zhang-Yue Zhou & Rod Cox, 2009. "At-home meat consumption in China: an empirical study ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 485-501, October.
    3. Awudu Abdulai & Devendra K. Jain & Ashok K. Sharma, 1999. "Household Food Demand Analysis in India," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(2), pages 316-327, May.
    4. Xi, Jing & Heckelei, Thomas & Mittelhammer, Ronald C., 2003. "Semiparametric Bayesian Analysis Of Simultaneous Systems With An Application To Japanese Meat Demand," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22210, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Jaouad, Mohamed, 1994. "An agricultural policy and trade model for Morocco," ISU General Staff Papers 1994010108000011483, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Lin, Biing-Hwan & Makus, Larry D., 1990. "Total Imports And Import Patterns Of Barley Into Japan: Implications Of The 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement," A.E. Research Series 305072, University of Idaho, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology.
    7. John Curtis & Brian Stanley, 2016. "Analysing Residential Energy Demand: An Error Correction Demand System Approach for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(2), pages 185-211.
    8. Coulibaly, Jeanne Y., 2013. "Do Source and Quality matter in the Demand for Imported Rice in Côte d’Ivoire?," 2013 Fourth International Conference, September 22-25, 2013, Hammamet, Tunisia 161266, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    9. Asche, Frank & Guttormsen, Atle G. & Kristofersson, Dadi & Roheim, Cathy A., 2005. "Import Demand Estimation and the Generalized Composite Commodity Theorem," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19432, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Stavroula Malla & K. K. Klein & Taryn Presseau, 2020. "Have health claims affected demand for fats and meats in Canada?," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 68(3), pages 271-287, September.
    11. Yeboah, Godfred & Maynard, Leigh J., 2004. "The Impact Of Bse, Fmd, And U.S. Export Promotion Expenditures On Japanese Meat Demand," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19978, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Toshinobu Matsuda, 2006. "A trigonometric flexible consumer demand system," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 145-162, February.
    13. Jin, Hyun Joung & Sun, Changyou & Koo, Won W., 2003. "The Effect Of Food-Safety Related Information On Consumer Preference: The Case Of The Bse Outbreak In Japan," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 23636, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    14. Mona Aghabeygi & Filippo Arfini, 2020. "Assessing the Net Import Welfare Impacts of the Rising Global Price of Food in Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(3), pages 1-10, February.
    15. Liu, Hongbo & Parton, Kevin A. & Zhou, Zhang-Yue & Cox, Rod, 2009. "At-home meat consumption in China: an empirical study," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 1-17.
    16. Schroeter, Christiane & Foster, Kenneth A., 2004. "The Impact Of Health Information And Demographic Changes On Aggregate Meat Demand," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20130, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Filippini, M. & Masiero, G. & Moschetti, K., 2009. "Regional consumption of antibiotics: A demand system approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1389-1397, November.
    18. Shaikh, Sabina L., 1998. "A Whale Of A Good Time: Exploring Flexibility In The Recreation Demand Model," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20826, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Galvis-Aponte, Luis Armando, 2005. "La demanda de carnes en Colombia : un análisis econométrico," Chapters, in: Pérez-Valbuena, Gerson Javier (ed.), Microeconomía de la ganadería en Colombia, chapter 1, pages 12-40, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    20. Jeffrey T. LaFrance & Rulon D. Pope, 2008. "Homogeneity and Supply," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(3), pages 606-612.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:347-360. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6297 .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6297 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.