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1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement: A Forecast Simulation Analysis (The)

Author

Listed:
  • Wahl, Thomas I.
  • Williams, Gary W.
  • Hayes, Dermot J.

Abstract

This article utilizes dynamic simulation analysis to consider the likely consequences of the 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement (BMAA) on the Japanese livestock industry and beef imports. The results lead to a number of conclusions. Beef imports will increase to the new quota level in the first three years and continue increasing at about the same rate thereafter. The shift from the import quota to the import tariff in 1991 will have little effect on imports or prices. Finally, the US share of increasing Japanese beef imports will increase at the expense of Australia and New Zealand.

Suggested Citation

  • Wahl, Thomas I. & Williams, Gary W. & Hayes, Dermot J., 1989. "1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement: A Forecast Simulation Analysis (The)," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10942, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:10942
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    Cited by:

    1. Morison, Julian B. & Officer, Linda J., 1992. "Factors Affecting Japanese Investment in the Australian Beef Industry," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 60(03), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Lin, Biing-Hwan & Makus, Larry D., 1990. "TOTAL IMPORTS AND IMPORT PATTERNS OF BARLEY INTO JAPAN: Implications of the 1988 Japanese Beef Market Access Agreement," A.E. Research Series 140525, University of Idaho, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology.

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