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Outputlücke und strukturelles Defizit für Österreich. Kritische Analyse der Methode der Europäischen Kommission

Author

Listed:
  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl
  • Christian Glocker

    (WIFO)

  • Serguei Kaniovski
  • Thomas Url

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Mit der Unterzeichnung des Fiskalpaktes wurde das strukturelle Defizit zu einer zentralen Größe der wirtschaftspolitischen Koordination innerhalb des Euro-Raumes. Für die Berechnung des strukturellen Defizits gibt die Europäische Kommission ein einheitliches Verfahren vor, das auf dem Konzept der Outputlücke in Verbindung mit Budgetelastizitäten beruht. Der vorliegende Beitrag diskutiert die Berechnungsmethode und zeigt die Ergebnisse für Österreich. Dem Ansatz der Europäischen Kommission wird alternativ ein dynamisches Konzept zur Schätzung der Budgetsensitivität gegenübergestellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url, 2013. "Outputlücke und strukturelles Defizit für Österreich. Kritische Analyse der Methode der Europäischen Kommission," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 86(9), pages 737-751, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2013:i:9:p:737-751
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Josef Baumgartner & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2016. "Moderate Economic Growth – Unemployment Remaining High. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy Until 2021," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 21(19), pages 185-201, December.
    2. Josef Baumgartner & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2016. "Mäßiges Wirtschaftswachstum – Arbeitslosigkeit hoch. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2021," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(10), pages 729-746, October.
    3. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Stefan Schiman, 2017. "Deutlich verbesserte Wachstumsaussichten. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2022," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 90(10), pages 763-781, October.
    4. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Markus Leibrecht, 2014. "Verhaltenes Wirtschaftswachstum, hohe Arbeitslosigkeit und Budgetkonsolidierung prägen Wirtschaftsentwicklung. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2018," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(2), pages 117-131, February.
    5. Kathrin Hranyai & Jürgen Janger & Anna Strauss, 2013. "Forschungsquotenziele 2020," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46996, April.
    6. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2015. "Mäßiges Wirtschaftswachstum mit hoher Arbeitslosigkeit. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2020," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(10), pages 779-796, October.
    7. N. N., 2015. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 10/2015," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(10), October.
    8. Kathrin Hranyai & Jürgen Janger, 2014. "Forschungsquotenziele 2020. Aktualisierung 2014," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 47492, April.
    9. Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url, 2016. "Austria 2025 – The Effect of Human Capital Accumulation on Output Growth," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 59175, February.
    10. Gunther Tichy, 2016. "Persistente Strukturprobleme trotz zutreffender Strukturprognosen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(8), pages 553-571, August.
    11. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2015. "Economic Growth Remains Subdued, with High Unemployment Persisting. Medium-term Projection for the Austrian Economy until 2019," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 20(12), pages 130-144, September.
    12. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Margit Schratzenstaller, 2015. "Moderate Growth with High Unemployment. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy until 2020," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 20(27), pages 303-319, December.
    13. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik & Stefan Schiman, 2017. "Significantly Improved Growth Prospects. Medium-term Forecast for the Austrian Economy until 2022," WIFO Bulletin, WIFO, vol. 22(16), pages 155-172, December.
    14. Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Thomas Url, 2017. "Österreich 2025 – Einfluss der Bildungsstruktur auf das langfristige Wirtschaftswachstum," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 90(6), pages 479-491, June.
    15. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Hans Pitlik, 2015. "Wirtschaftswachstum weiterhin verhalten, Arbeitslosigkeit bleibt hoch. Mittelfristige Prognose der österreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2019," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(1), pages 51-66, January.

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