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Inflation and relative price variability in Venezuela

Author

Listed:
  • José Contreras

    (Oficina de Investigaciones Económicas, Banco Central de Venezuela. Carmelitas Caracas, Venezuela.)

  • Nora Guarata

    (Oficina de Investigaciones Económicas, Banco Central de Venezuela. Carmelitas Caracas, Venezuela.)

Abstract

There are several theories about the causes of inflation but none of them is capable of explaining the phenomenon in all cases. We started with an overview of the main theories. In the particular case of Venezuela, it seems that the inflationary phenomenon responds to structural factors rather than circumstantial ones. We utilized three variables that measure relative price distribution and tested for their relation with inflation. Later we used a modified Phillips curve, which included exchange rate as an explanatory variable and regressed it with and without the variables relating relative price distribution: variance, skewness and a combination of both. We concluded that those variables helped explain inflation in Venezuela for the period we studied.

Suggested Citation

  • José Contreras & Nora Guarata, 2013. "Inflation and relative price variability in Venezuela," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, vol. 38(36), pages 85-122, july-dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:ula:econom:v:38:y:2013:i:36:p:85-122
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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