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Regional Growth and Convergence: Evidence from the United States

Listed author(s):
  • Efthymios Tsionas

TSIONAS E. G. (2000) Regional growth and convergence: evidence from the United States, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. The paper considers regional convergence in the US. Both g - and † -convergence tests indicate that in the period 1977-96 regional incomes do not converge, yet kernel density estimates of the distribution show some variation in the tail characteristics of the distribution. Using finite normal mixtures to examine time invariance of the distribution in a more formal way, the paper concludes that the distribution of the logarithms of regional income has indeed shown very little time variation. The distribution of income percentages shows some mobility, there is a structural break in mixing probabilities, mixing means and variances, but the mobility is not strong enough to imply a radical change in the co-movement patterns of regional means. TSIONAS E. G. (2000) La croissance et la convergence regionales: des preuves provenant des Etats-Unis, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. Cet article cherche a etudier la convergence aux Etats-Unis. Et le test de convergence g - et le test de convergence † - laissent voir que les revenus regionaux ne convergent pas entre 1977 et 1996. Toujours est-il que les estimations fondamentales de densite de la distribution laisse voir une certaine variation des caracteristiques de queue de la distribution. Employant des melanges normaux finis pour examiner de facon plus formelle l'invariance temps de la distribution, l'article conclut que la distribution des logarithmes du revenu regional a en effet varie tres peu sur le temps. La distribution des pourcentages de revenu montre une certaine mobilite. Il y a une rupture structurelle des probabilites de melange des moyennes de melanges et des variances. Cependant, la mobilite ne s'avere pas suffisamment forte pour laisser supposer un changement radical des distributions de mouvement simultane des moyennes regionales. TSIONAS E. G. (2000) Regionales Wachstum und Konvergenz: Beweise aus den Vereinigten Staaten, Reg. Studies 34 , 231-238. Dieser Aufsatz beschaftigt sich mit regionaler Konvergenz in den Vereinigten Staaten. Sowohl g als auch † Konvergenzprufungen zeigen, dass regionale Einkommen sich im Zeitraum 1977-1996 nicht aneinander annahern, doch Kerndichteschatzungen der Verteilung weisen bei den zuletzt aufgefuhrten Merkmalen einige Abweichungen in der Verteilung auf. Der Aufsatz benutzt begrenzte Normalmischungen zur Untersuchung der Zeitinvarianz der Verteilung auf formalere Art, und folgert, dass die Verteilung der Logarithmen eines regionalen einkommens tatsachlich nur sehr geringe zeitliche Abweichungen aufgewiesen hat. Die Verteilung der Einkommensprozentsatze erweist sich als etwas beweglicher, es gibt eine strukturelle Unterbrechung bei der Mischung von Wahrscheinlichkeiten, der Mischung von Mitteln und Abweichungen, doch ist die Beweglichkeit nicht stark genug, eine radikale Wende in den simultanen Bewegungsmustern regionaler Mittel anzuzeigen.

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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Regional Studies.

Volume (Year): 34 (2000)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 231-238

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Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:34:y:2000:i:3:p:231-238
DOI: 10.1080/00343400050015078
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  1. Paul Cashin & Loris Strappazzon, 1998. "Disparities in Australian Regional Incomes: Are They Widening or Narrowing?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 31(1), pages 3-26.
  2. de la Fuente, Angel, 2002. "On the sources of convergence: A close look at the Spanish regions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 569-599, March.
  3. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier X., 1996. "Regional cohesion: Evidence and theories of regional growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1325-1352, June.
  4. Lee, Kevin & Pesaran, M Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1997. "Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 357-392, July-Aug..
  5. Durlauf, Steven N & Johnson, Paul A, 1995. "Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behaviour," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 365-384, Oct.-Dec..
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  7. Rossana Galli, 1997. "Is There Long Run Industrial Convergence in Europe?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 333-368.
  8. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
  9. Fabio Canova & Albert Marcet, 1995. "The poor stay poor: Non-convergence across countries and regions," Economics Working Papers 137, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 1999.
  10. Evans, Paul & Karras, Georgios, 1996. "Convergence revisited," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(2-3), pages 249-265, April.
  11. Bernard, Andrew B & Durlauf, Steven N, 1995. "Convergence in International Output," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 97-108, April-Jun.
  12. Quah, Danny, 1993. " Galton's Fallacy and Tests of the Convergence Hypothesis," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 95(4), pages 427-443, December.
  13. Quah, Danny T., 1996. "Empirics for economic growth and convergence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1353-1375, June.
  14. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier, 1994. "Cross-sectional regressions and the empirics of economic growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 739-747, April.
  15. Yang Hong, 1996. "Sources of Productivity Disparities in Regional Grain Production in China," Chinese Economies Research Centre (CERC) Working Papers 1996-09, University of Adelaide, Chinese Economies Research Centre.
  16. Magrini, Stefano, 1999. "The evolution of income disparities among the regions of the European Union," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 257-281, March.
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