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Effects of multilateral and preferential trade policy reform in Africa: The case of Uganda

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  • Kym Anderson
  • Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

Abstract

This paper estimates the effects on production, trade and economic welfare of current trade policy regimes throughout the world on Uganda relative to other economies. This will be a benchmark against which to examine various multilateral and preferential trade policy scenarios that might emerge over the next decade as part of the WTO's Doha Round and from the expected move later this decade towards Economic Partnership Agreements with the European Union. The results suggest modest gains or worse for Uganda, in part because it already has low tariffs and ready preferential access to rich-country markets. Several important caveats to this type of analysis are stressed though, before drawing out some trade and policy implications for Uganda.

Suggested Citation

  • Kym Anderson & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2007. "Effects of multilateral and preferential trade policy reform in Africa: The case of Uganda," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(4), pages 529-550.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:16:y:2007:i:4:p:529-550
    DOI: 10.1080/09638190701600264
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. World Bank, 2005. "Global Economic Prospects 2005 : Trade, Regionalism and Development," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 14783.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ole Boysen & Alan Matthews, 2017. "Will Economic Partnership Agreements Increase Poverty? The Case of Uganda," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 353-382, May.
    2. Gammage Clair, 2010. "A 'Sustainability Impact Assessment' of the Economic Partnership Agreements: Challenging the Participatory Process," The Law and Development Review, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 107-134, September.
    3. Charteris, Angus & Winchester, Niven, 2010. "Dairy disaggregation and joint production in an economy-wide model," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(4), pages 1-17.
    4. Angus Charteris & Niven Winchester, 2010. "Dairy disaggregation and joint production in an economy-wide model *-super-‡," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(4), pages 491-507, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade policy reform; multilateral negotiations; preferential trade; computable general equilibrium; developing countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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