The Short-and Long-Run Relationships Between the Exchange Rate of the Dollar and Producer Prices in the U.S
This paper investigates empirically the relationship between exchange rates and producer prices in the U.S. using a multivariate dynamic framework. Cointegration tests reveal that is a stable long-run relationship between prices, exchange rates and other factors according to which depreciations lead to higher prices. However, the estimated effect is not consistent with the pure form of the purchasing power parity hypothesis. It is also found that in the short run, the rate of price inflation. Finally, there appears to be bi-directional causality between producer prices and exchange rates. [E31, F31, F41[
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Volume (Year): 11 (1997)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
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- Koch, Paul D. & Rosenweig, Jeffrey A. & Whitt, Joseph Jr, 1988. "The dynamic relationship between the dollar and US prices: An intensive empirical investigation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 181-204, June.
- Dickey, David A & Pantula, Sastry G, 2002. "Determining the Order of Differencing in Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 18-24, January.
- Miller, Stephen M, 1991. "Monetary Dynamics: An Application of Cointegration and Error-Correction Modeling," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 139-54, May.
- McKinnon, Ronald I, 1982. "Currency Substitution and Instability in the World Dollar Standard," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 320-33, June.
- Clements, Michael P. & Mizon, Grayham E., 1991. "Empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series : VAR and structural models," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 887-917, May.
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