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Will Taiwan's Economy be Marginalized by China? A Macro-economic Policy Coordination Approach

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  • Kuo-Chun Yeh

Abstract

In Taiwan, economic marginalization has become a major concern that has resulted from the fast growing Chinese economy, imbalanced cross-strait economic and political relations, and a failure to participate in important international trade and financial organizations. Is a China-Taiwan policy cooperative mechanism the best choice for Taiwan's economic welfare? This paper is to measure Taiwan's economic marginalization by an international policy coordination approach instead of the conventional free trade agreements. We simulate macro-economic adjustments of Taiwan and its main economic partners (China and the US) according to the different institutional scenarios and economic shocks. The baseline simulation and sensitivity analyses imply that at the current stage policy coordination between China and Taiwan cannot come into effect without the US's participation.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuo-Chun Yeh, 2009. "Will Taiwan's Economy be Marginalized by China? A Macro-economic Policy Coordination Approach," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 77-99.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:glecrv:v:38:y:2009:i:1:p:77-99
    DOI: 10.1080/12265080802692704
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniel H. Rosen & Nicholas Lardy, 2004. "Prospects for a US-Taiwan Free Trade Agreement," Peterson Institute Press: Policy Analyses in International Economics, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number pa73, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Boldea, O. & Engwerda, J.C. & Michalak, T. & Plasmans, J.E.J. & Salmah, S., 2011. "A Simulation Study of an ASEAN Monetary Union (Replaces CentER DP 2010-100)," Discussion Paper 2011-098, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Engwerda, J. & Boldea, O. & Michalak, T. & Plasmans, J. & Salmah,, 2012. "A simulation study of an ASEAN monetary union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1870-1890.

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