IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/eurjfi/v5y1999i4p331-341.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling normal returns in event studies: a model-selection approach and pilot study

Author

Listed:
  • J. Cable
  • K. Holland

Abstract

The choice of model of normal returns in event studies has been widely discussed in the literature. While researchers frequently continue to use an array of alternatives, there is currently some tendency to favour cruder but simpler mean- or market-adjusted returns models. This paper presents a general-to-specific model selection framework for testing the data admissibility of the principal models in current use. Results from a pilot study indicate a strong preliminary preference in favour of the regression-based models, with the market model generally outperforming the capital asset pricing model.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Cable & K. Holland, 1999. "Modelling normal returns in event studies: a model-selection approach and pilot study," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 331-341.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:5:y:1999:i:4:p:331-341
    DOI: 10.1080/135184799336993
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/135184799336993
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/135184799336993?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Scholes, Myron & Williams, Joseph, 1977. "Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 309-327, December.
    2. Jagannathan, Ravi & Wang, Zhenyu, 1996. "The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 3-53, March.
    3. Chandra, R & Moriarity, S & Willinger, Gl, 1990. "A Reexamination Of The Power Of Alternative Return-Generating Models And The Effect Of Accounting For Cross-Sectional Dependencies In Event Studies," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 398-408.
    4. Morse, D, 1984. "An Econometric-Analysis Of The Choice Of Daily Versus Monthly Returns In Tests Of Information-Content," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 605-623.
    5. James G. MacKinnon, 1990. "Critical Values for Cointegration Tests," Working Paper 1227, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    6. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    7. Kim, Dongcheol, 1995. "The Errors in the Variables Problem in the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1605-1634, December.
    8. Ramesh Chandra & Bala V. Balachandran, 1990. "A synthesis of alternative testing procedures for event studies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 6(2), pages 611-640, March.
    9. Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (ed.), 1991. "Long-Run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283393, Decembrie.
    10. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
    11. Collins, Dw & Dent, Wt, 1984. "A Comparison Of Alternative Testing Methodologies Used In Capital-Market Research," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(1), pages 48-84.
    12. J. Andrew Coutts & Terence Mills & Jennifer Roberts, 1995. "Misspecification of the market model: the implications for event studies," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(5), pages 163-165.
    13. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1980. "Measuring security price performance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 205-258, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Clarke & Gerard Gannon & Russell Vinning, 2011. "The Impact of Warrant Introduction: The Australian Experience," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(02), pages 213-269.
    2. Lynn Hodgkinson & Kevin Holland & Richard Jackson, 2006. "Dividend valuation, trading and transactions costs: the 1997 partial abolition of dividend tax credit repayments," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 253-270.
    3. Clarke, Michael & Gannon, Gerard & Vinning, Russell, 2007. "The impact of warrant introduction: Australian experience," Working Papers aef_2007_11, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    4. Silvio John Camilleri & Christopher J. Green, 2004. "The Impact of the Suspension of Opening and Closing Call," Finance 0411012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Rácz, Dávid Andor & Huszár, Gergely, 2019. "The Effects of Earnings Surprises in Quarterly Reports on S&P 500 Components," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 64(2), pages 239-259.
    6. Wang, Ying & Lahr, Henry, 2017. "Takeover law to protect shareholders: Increasing efficiency or merely redistributing gains?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 288-315.
    7. Berninger, Marc & Gärtner, Henrik & Schiereck, Dirk, 2018. "Kapitalmarktreaktionen auf die Ankündigung von Personalabbauplänen – ein Überblick über drei Jahrzehnte empirische Evidenz," Die Unternehmung - Swiss Journal of Business Research and Practice, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 72(4), pages 289-325.
    8. Silvio John Camilleri, 2005. "Can a Stock Index be Less Efficient than Underlying Shares? An Analysis Using Malta Stock Exchange Data," Finance 0507006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Jianyu Ma & Mingzhai Geng & Yun Chu, 2016. "Model selection for merger and acquisition analysis in Asian emerging markets," International Journal of Revenue Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 40-56.
    10. Manuela Ender & Finn Brinckmann, 2019. "Impact of CSR-Relevant News on Stock Prices of Companies Listed in the Austrian Traded Index (ATX)," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-18, June.
    11. Silvio John Camilleri & Christopher J. Green, 2009. "The impact of the suspension of opening and closing call auctions: evidence from the National Stock Exchange of India," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(3), pages 257-284.
    12. Mustafa K. Yilmaz & Mine Aksoy & Ekrem Tatoglu, 2020. "Does the Stock Market Value Inclusion in a Sustainability Index? Evidence from Borsa Istanbul," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, January.
    13. Henryk Gurgul & Paweł Majdosz, 2005. "Effect of dividend and repurchase announcements on the Polish stock market," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 15(1), pages 25-41.
    14. Sascha Wilkens & Jens Wimschulte, 2005. "Price and Volume Effects Associated with 2003’s Major Reorganization of German Stock Indices," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 19(1), pages 61-98, June.
    15. Bruce Burton & Satish Kumar & Nitesh Pandey, 2020. "Twenty-five years of The European Journal of Finance (EJF): a retrospective analysis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(18), pages 1817-1841, December.
    16. Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty & Marwa Anwar & Nebal Magdy & Mohamed Nabil Hakam, 2020. "Robust examination of political structural breaks and abnormal stock returns in Egypt," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, December.
    17. Ståle Størdal & Gudbrand Lien & Erik Trømborg, 2021. "Impacts of Infectious Disease Outbreaks on Firm Performance and Risk: The Forest Industries during the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, July.
    18. Neha Kalra & Shaveta Gupta & Rajesh Bagga, 2013. "A Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions: Are Indian Banks Going Up a Blind Alley?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 14(2), pages 263-282, June.
    19. Alberto Barroso Del Toro & Laura Vivas Crisol & Xavier Tort-Martorell, 2022. "The Sustainability Narrative: A Multi Study Using Event Studies to Analyse the American Energy Companies Shareholder’s Reaction to Sustainability News," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-17, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cable, J & Holland, K, 1996. "Modelling Normal Returns in Event Studies: A Model-Selection Approach and Pilot Study," Working Papers 96-13, University of Wales, Aberystwyth, Department of Economics.
    2. Bing Xiang, 1993. "The Choice of Return†Generating Models and Cross†Sectional Dependence in Event Studies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(2), pages 365-394, March.
    3. Cunha, P.A.M.F.V., 2005. "The value of cooperation : Studies on the performance outcomes of interorganizational alliances," Other publications TiSEM 59466e6c-1920-461e-b5e9-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Cable, John & Holland, Kevin, 1999. "Regression vs. non-regression models of normal returns: implications for event studies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 81-85, July.
    5. Kothari, S. P., 2001. "Capital markets research in accounting," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-3), pages 105-231, September.
    6. Amit Goyal, 2012. "Empirical cross-sectional asset pricing: a survey," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(1), pages 3-38, March.
    7. Corrado, Charles J. & Truong, Cameron, 2008. "Conducting event studies with Asia-Pacific security market data," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 493-521, November.
    8. Charles O. Manasseh & Chukwuka Kenneth Ozuzu & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, 2016. "Semi Strong Form Efficiency Test of the Nigerian Stock Market: Evidence from Event Study Analysis of Bonus Issues," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1474-1490.
    9. Samson Mukanjari & Thomas Sterner, 2020. "Charting a “Green Path” for Recovery from COVID-19," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 825-853, August.
    10. Ramesh Chandra & Kermit J. Rohrbach & G. Lee Willinger, 1992. "Longitudinal rank tests for detecting location shift in the distribution of abnormal returns: An extension," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(1), pages 296-305, September.
    11. Chen, Hong-Yi & Lee, Alice C. & Lee, Cheng-Few, 2015. "Alternative errors-in-variables models and their applications in finance research," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 213-227.
    12. Belinda Mucklow, 1994. "Market Microstructure: An Examination of the Effects on Intraday Event Studies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(2), pages 355-382, March.
    13. Miroslav Matteev, 2004. "CAPM Anomalies and the Efficiency of Stock Markets in Transition: Evidence from Bulgaria," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 2(1), pages 35-58.
    14. Turan G. Bali & Robert F. Engle & Yi Tang, 2017. "Dynamic Conditional Beta Is Alive and Well in the Cross Section of Daily Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(11), pages 3760-3779, November.
    15. Edward Jones & Jonathan Crook, 2009. "Wealth effects to bidding companies from regulatory interventions in the UK," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(8), pages 625-634.
    16. Zura Kakushadze, 2014. "4-Factor Model for Overnight Returns," Papers 1410.5513, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
    17. Deitz, George D. & Evans, Robert D. & Hansen, John D., 2013. "Sponsorship and shareholder value: A re-examination and extension," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1427-1435.
    18. Tim Bollerslev & Sophia Zhengzi Li & Viktor Todorov, 2014. "Roughing up Beta: Continuous vs. Discontinuous Betas, and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2014-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    19. Linnenluecke, Martina K. & Chen, Xiaoyan & Ling, Xin & Smith, Tom & Zhu, Yushu, 2017. "Research in finance: A review of influential publications and a research agenda," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
    20. Liebmann, Michael & Orlov, Alexei G. & Neumann, Dirk, 2016. "The tone of financial news and the perceptions of stock and CDS traders," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 159-175.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Abnormal Returns; Event Studies;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:5:y:1999:i:4:p:331-341. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/REJF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.