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Analysing mergers and acquisitions in European financial services: An application of real options

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  • Christian Dunis
  • Til Klein

Abstract

This paper applies real option pricing theory to the analysis of a sample of 15 recent mergers and acquisitions in the European financial services industry. Overall, it is found that those acquisitions were not on average overpaid. Nevertheless, further analysis, assuming the option premium equalled the takeover premium, shows that either the implicitly assumed volatility was too low, the assumed time to maturity was very short and/or the assumed subsequent market performance was too optimistic.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Dunis & Til Klein, 2005. "Analysing mergers and acquisitions in European financial services: An application of real options," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 339-355.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:11:y:2005:i:4:p:339-355
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847032000137456
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Berger, Allen N. & Demsetz, Rebecca S. & Strahan, Philip E., 1999. "The consolidation of the financial services industry: Causes, consequences, and implications for the future," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2-4), pages 135-194, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kling, Gerhard & Ghobadian, Abby & O'Regan, Nicholas, 2009. "Organic growth and shareholder value: A case study of the insurance industry," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 276-283.
    2. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2022. "Measuring Collaborative Synergies with Advanced Real Options: MNEs’ Sequential Acquisitions of International Ventures," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Maditinos D. & Theriou N. & Demetriades E., 2009. "The Effect of Mergers and Acquisitions on the Performance of Companies – The Greek Case of Ioniki-Laiki Bank and Pisteos Bank," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 111-130.
    4. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2021. "Exploring Critical Success Factors of Competence-Based Synergy in Strategic Alliances: The Renault–Nissan–Mitsubishi Strategic Alliance," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-22, August.
    5. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2020. "Valuing Reciprocal Synergies in Merger and Acquisition Deals Using the Real Option Analysis," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-25, April.
    6. Campbell, Rachel A. & Kräussl, Roman, 2006. "Does patience pay? Empirical testing of the option to delay accepting a tender offer in the US banking sector," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/32, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    7. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2021. "Valuing Dynamic Capabilities-Based Synergies with Real Options," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-14, February.
    8. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2021. "Exploring the Link of Real Options Theory with Dynamic Capabilities Framework in Open Innovation-Type Merger and Acquisition Deals," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2024. "Exploring Competence-Based Synergism in Strategic Collaborations: Evidence from the Global Healthcare Industry," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-20, February.
    10. Neha Kalra & Shaveta Gupta & Rajesh Bagga, 2013. "A Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions: Are Indian Banks Going Up a Blind Alley?," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 14(2), pages 263-282, June.
    11. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2022. "Valuing Collaborative Synergies with Real Options Application: From Dynamic Political Capabilities Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-22, June.
    12. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2022. "A Discourse on Foresight and the Valuation of Explicit and Tacit Synergies in Strategic Collaborations," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-18, July.
    13. Andrejs Čirjevskis, 2023. "Predicting Explicit and Valuing Tacit Synergies of High-Tech Based Transactions: Amazon.com’s Acquisition of Dubai-Based Souq.com," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-11, February.

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