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The information content of the Reserve Bank of Australia's inflation forecasts


  • George B. Tawadros


In this article, the inflation forecasts produced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and that generated by private forecasters, are used to assess whether the Reserve Bank possesses information about inflation that the private sector does not have. The results show that the Reserve Bank inflation forecasts embody useful predictive information about inflation, beyond that contained in private forecasts, over the recent inflation targeting period.

Suggested Citation

  • George B. Tawadros, 2013. "The information content of the Reserve Bank of Australia's inflation forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 623-628, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:623-628
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608646

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Newton Da Costa & Carlos Mineto & Sergio Da Silva, 2008. "Disposition effect and gender," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 411-416.
    2. Conlisk, John, 1989. "Three Variants on the Allais Example," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(3), pages 392-407, June.
    3. Eckel, Catherine C. & Grossman, Philip J., 2008. "Men, Women and Risk Aversion: Experimental Evidence," Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, Elsevier.
    4. Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-291, March.
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