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Deviations from PPP and UIP in a financially open economy: the Turkish evidence

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  • Erdal Ozmen
  • Aysun Gokcan

Abstract

This paper investigates the interrelations between purchasing power parity (PPP) and uncovered interest parity (UIP) in Turkey using Johansen cointegration analysis for a system containing Turkish and US inflation rates, interest rates, and exchange rate. The results of a structural model obtained by data-acceptable over-identifying restrictions over the cointegration space suggest the existence of two cointegration vectors representing UIP and PPP with proportionality and symmetry conditions, respectively. Consistent with the capital enhanced equilibrium exchange rates (CHEERs) approach, each of the international parity hypotheses is rejected when formulated independently. This is a theiry-consistent result for a financially open economy for which equilibrium conditions of asset and commodity markets may not be independent of each other.

Suggested Citation

  • Erdal Ozmen & Aysun Gokcan, 2004. "Deviations from PPP and UIP in a financially open economy: the Turkish evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 779-784.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:14:y:2004:i:11:p:779-784
    DOI: 10.1080/0960310042000191671
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Katarina Juselius & Ronald MacDonald, 2000. "International Parity Relationships between Germany and the United States: A Joint Modelling Approach," Discussion Papers 00-10, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    2. Lucio Sarno & Mark P. Taylor, 2002. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Real Exchange Rate," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(1), pages 1-5.
    3. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2001. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Chapters,in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 339-412 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Guy Meredith & Menzie D. Chinn, 1998. "Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity," NBER Working Papers 6797, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2012. "Purchasing Power Parity between the UK and the Euro Area," Working papers 2012-46, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    2. Chan, Tze-Haw, 2011. "A structural modeling of exchange rate, prices and interest rates between Malaysia-China in the liberalization era," MPRA Paper 32955, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen Miller & Stephen Pollard, 2014. "Purchasing Power Parity Between the UK and Germany: The Euro Era," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 677-699, September.

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