IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v37y2023i9d10.1007_s11269-023-03525-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Comprehensive Experimental and Computational Investigation on Estimation of Scour Depth at Bridge Abutment: Emerging Ensemble Intelligent Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Manish Pandey

    (National Institute of Technology Warangal)

  • Masoud Karbasi

    (University of Zanjan)

  • Mehdi Jamei

    (Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz
    Al-Ayen University)

  • Anurag Malik

    (Regional Research Station)

  • Jaan H. Pu

    (University of Bradford)

Abstract

Several bridges failed because of scouring and erosion around the bridge elements. Hence, precise prediction of abutment scour is necessary for the safe design of bridges. In this research, experimental and computational investigations have been devoted based on 45 flume experiments carried out at the NIT Warangal, India. Three innovative ensemble-based data intelligence paradigms, namely categorical boosting (CatBoost) in conjunction with extra tree regression (ETR) and K-nearest neighbor (KNN), are used to accurately predict the scour depth around the bridge abutment. A total of 308 series of laboratory data (a wide range of existing abutment scour depth datasets (263 datasets) and 45 flume data) in various sediment and hydraulic conditions were used to develop the models. Four dimensionless variables were used to calculate scour depth: approach densimetric Froude number (Fd50), the upstream depth (y) to abutment transverse length ratio (y/L), the abutment transverse length to the sediment mean diameter (L/d50), and the mean velocity to the critical velocity ratio (V/Vcr). The Gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) method selected features with higher importance. Based on the feature selection results, two combinations of input variables (comb1 (all variables as model input) and comb2 (all variables except Fd50)) were used. The CatBoost model with Comb1 data input (RMSE = 0.1784, R = 0.9685, MAPE = 10.4724) provided better accuracy when compared to other machine learning models.

Suggested Citation

  • Manish Pandey & Masoud Karbasi & Mehdi Jamei & Anurag Malik & Jaan H. Pu, 2023. "A Comprehensive Experimental and Computational Investigation on Estimation of Scour Depth at Bridge Abutment: Emerging Ensemble Intelligent Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3745-3767, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03525-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-023-03525-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-023-03525-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-023-03525-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Manish Pandey & P. K. Sharma & Z. Ahmad & Nilav Karna, 2018. "Maximum scour depth around bridge pier in gravel bed streams," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(2), pages 819-836, March.
    2. Friedman, Jerome H., 2002. "Stochastic gradient boosting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 367-378, February.
    3. Reza Mohammadpour & Aminuddin Ab. Ghani & Mohammadtaghi Vakili & Tooraj Sabzevari, 2016. "Prediction of temporal scour hazard at bridge abutment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1891-1911, February.
    4. Reza Mohammadpour & Aminuddin Ghani & Mohammadtaghi Vakili & Tooraj Sabzevari, 2016. "Prediction of temporal scour hazard at bridge abutment," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1891-1911, February.
    5. Manish Goyal & C. Ojha, 2011. "Estimation of Scour Downstream of a Ski-Jump Bucket Using Support Vector and M5 Model Tree," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(9), pages 2177-2195, July.
    6. Elnaz Eghlidi & Gholam-Abbas Barani & Kourosh Qaderi, 2020. "Laboratory Investigation of Stilling Basin Slope Effect on Bed Scour at Downstream of Stepped Spillway: Physical Modeling of Javeh RCC Dam," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 87-100, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Enes Gul & Efthymia Staiou & Mir Jafar Sadegh Safari & Babak Vaheddoost, 2023. "Enhancing Meteorological Drought Modeling Accuracy Using Hybrid Boost Regression Models: A Case Study from the Aegean Region, Türkiye," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-17, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hassan Sharafi & Isa Ebtehaj & Hossein Bonakdari & Amir Hossein Zaji, 2016. "Design of a support vector machine with different kernel functions to predict scour depth around bridge piers," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 2145-2162, December.
    2. Mansoor, Umer & Jamal, Arshad & Su, Junbiao & Sze, N.N. & Chen, Anthony, 2023. "Investigating the risk factors of motorcycle crash injury severity in Pakistan: Insights and policy recommendations," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 21-38.
    3. Bissan Ghaddar & Ignacio Gómez-Casares & Julio González-Díaz & Brais González-Rodríguez & Beatriz Pateiro-López & Sofía Rodríguez-Ballesteros, 2023. "Learning for Spatial Branching: An Algorithm Selection Approach," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 35(5), pages 1024-1043, September.
    4. Akash Malhotra, 2018. "A hybrid econometric-machine learning approach for relative importance analysis: Prioritizing food policy," Papers 1806.04517, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    5. Nahushananda Chakravarthy H G & Karthik M Seenappa & Sujay Raghavendra Naganna & Dayananda Pruthviraja, 2023. "Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of the Compressive Strength of Self-Compacting Concrete Incorporating Incinerated Bio-Medical Waste Ash," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-22, September.
    6. Tim Voigt & Martin Kohlhase & Oliver Nelles, 2021. "Incremental DoE and Modeling Methodology with Gaussian Process Regression: An Industrially Applicable Approach to Incorporate Expert Knowledge," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-26, October.
    7. Wen, Shaoting & Buyukada, Musa & Evrendilek, Fatih & Liu, Jingyong, 2020. "Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of co-combustion/pyrolysis of textile dyeing sludge and incense sticks: Regression and machine-learning models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 463-474.
    8. Zhu, Haibin & Bai, Lu & He, Lidan & Liu, Zhi, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 251-271.
    9. Spiliotis, Evangelos & Makridakis, Spyros & Kaltsounis, Anastasios & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2021. "Product sales probabilistic forecasting: An empirical evaluation using the M5 competition data," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    10. Zhang, Ning & Li, Zhiying & Zou, Xun & Quiring, Steven M., 2019. "Comparison of three short-term load forecast models in Southern California," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    11. Smyl, Slawek & Hua, N. Grace, 2019. "Machine learning methods for GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1424-1431.
    12. Barzin,Samira & Avner,Paolo & Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & O’Clery,Neave, 2022. "Where Are All the Jobs ? A Machine Learning Approach for High Resolution Urban Employment Prediction inDeveloping Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9979, The World Bank.
    13. Eike Emrich & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016. "Volunteering, Match Quality, and Internet Use," Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 136(2), pages 199-226.
    14. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2009. "On-line monitoring of power curves," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1487-1493.
    15. Zhu, Siying & Zhu, Feng, 2019. "Cycling comfort evaluation with instrumented probe bicycle," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 217-231.
    16. Catherine Ikae & Jacques Savoy, 2022. "Gender identification on Twitter," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 73(1), pages 58-69, January.
    17. Martijn Kagie & Michiel Van Wezel, 2007. "Hedonic price models and indices based on boosting applied to the Dutch housing market," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3‐4), pages 85-106, July.
    18. Matthias Bogaert & Michel Ballings & Dirk Van den Poel, 2018. "Evaluating the importance of different communication types in romantic tie prediction on social media," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 263(1), pages 501-527, April.
    19. Dursun Delen & Hamed M. Zolbanin & Durand Crosby & David Wright, 2021. "To imprison or not to imprison: an analytics model for drug courts," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 303(1), pages 101-124, August.
    20. Doruk Cengiz & Arindrajit Dube & Attila S. Lindner & David Zentler-Munro, 2021. "Seeing Beyond the Trees: Using Machine Learning to Estimate the Impact of Minimum Wages on Labor Market Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 28399, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:37:y:2023:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-023-03525-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.