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Impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) Change on Surface Runoff in an Increasingly Urbanized Tropical Watershed

Author

Listed:
  • Ike Sari Astuti

    (University of Georgia
    Universitas Negeri Malang)

  • Kamalakanta Sahoo

    (University of Georgia
    United States Forest Service)

  • Adam Milewski

    (University of Georgia)

  • Deepak R. Mishra

    (University of Georgia)

Abstract

Upper-Brantas watershed in East Java, Indonesia, is a tropical watershed experiencing rapid landscape change, a phenomenon typical to developing countries. This study demonstrates the impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes on surface runoff in a tropical, urbanized, and data scarce watershed. The LULC changes were quantified between 1995 and 2015 and their impact on the hydrological processes was analyzed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. During the study period, the watershed experienced an increase in settlement and dryland agriculture, and a decrease in the forest, rice field, and sugarcane plantation. The SWAT model results for the calibration (2003–2008) and validation (2009–2013) periods matched observed values [R2 > 0.91 and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) >0.91]. In the long-term, the model predicted changes in runoff (+8%), water yield (+0.28%), groundwater (−1.8%), and evapotranspiration (−1.15%) due to changes in LULC. LULC changes showed a linear relationship with runoff generation, and the most significant factors affecting surface runoff were changes in the forest, agriculture, and settlements. Increasing urbanization, industrialization, and agricultural intensification will increase runoff which in turn will enhance the flow of nutrients and sediments into the water bodies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ike Sari Astuti & Kamalakanta Sahoo & Adam Milewski & Deepak R. Mishra, 2019. "Impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) Change on Surface Runoff in an Increasingly Urbanized Tropical Watershed," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4087-4103, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02320-w
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02320-w
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    1. Wiwandari Handayani, 2013. "Rural-Urban Transition in Central Java: Population and Economic Structural Changes Based on Cluster Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-18, August.
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    6. N. M. Sabitha & Santosh G. Thampi & D. Sathish Kumar, 2023. "Application of a Distributed Hydrologic Model to Assess the Impact of Climate and Land-use Change on Surface Runoff from a Small Urbanizing Watershed," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2347-2368, May.
    7. Irmadi Nahib & Wiwin Ambarwulan & Ati Rahadiati & Sri Lestari Munajati & Yosef Prihanto & Jaka Suryanta & Turmudi Turmudi & Anggit Cahyo Nuswantoro, 2021. "Assessment of the Impacts of Climate and LULC Changes on the Water Yield in the Citarum River Basin, West Java Province, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Sabita Shrestha & Shenghui Cui & Lilai Xu & Lihong Wang & Bikram Manandhar & Shengping Ding, 2021. "Impact of Land Use Change Due to Urbanisation on Surface Runoff Using GIS-Based SCS–CN Method: A Case Study of Xiamen City, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, August.
    9. Ankur Srivastava & Nikul Kumari & Minotshing Maza, 2020. "Hydrological Response to Agricultural Land Use Heterogeneity Using Variable Infiltration Capacity Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(12), pages 3779-3794, September.
    10. Ankur Srivastava & Proloy Deb & Nikul Kumari, 2020. "Multi-Model Approach to Assess the Dynamics of Hydrologic Components in a Tropical Ecosystem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 327-341, January.
    11. Maryam Abbaszadeh & Ommolbanin Bazrafshan & Rasool Mahdavi & Elham Rafiei Sardooi & Sajad Jamshidi, 2023. "Modeling Future Hydrological Characteristics Based on Land Use/Land Cover and Climate Changes Using the SWAT Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(10), pages 4177-4194, August.
    12. Chaowei Xu & Hao Fu & Jiashuai Yang & Lingyue Wang & Yizhen Wang, 2022. "Land-Use-Based Runoff Yield Method to Modify Hydrological Model for Flood Management: A Case in the Basin of Simple Underlying Surface," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.

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