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The Ex-Ante Evaluation of Achieving Sustainable Development Goals

Author

Listed:
  • Lorenza Campagnolo

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)

  • Carlo Carraro

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
    Ca’Foscari University of Venice)

  • Fabio Eboli

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici)

  • Luca Farnia

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici)

  • Ramiro Parrado

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
    Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici)

  • Roberta Pierfederici

    (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)

Abstract

This paper describes the methodology and main results from an overall assessment on future achievement of sustainable development goals. The proposed approach consists of a model-based, looking forward composite sustainable development index—FEEM sustainability index—projected to the future. It represents a first experiment to reproduce the future dynamics of sustainable development indicators over time and worldwide and to assess future sustainability under different scenarios. The assessment presented here is relevant under different viewpoints. First, it has a very broad nature in terms of both geographical coverage and meaningfulness: it considers the multi-dimensional structure of sustainable development by combining relevant indicators belonging to economic, social and environmental pillars for the whole world. Second, the modelling framework to compute future trends of indicators relies upon a recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium model. This is an ideal tool to look simultaneously at the development of many indicators, their potential interactions and trade-offs, and more in general to the consequences of economic development and/or policies aiming to increase performance in one or more indicators; it allows measuring the overall sustainability under alternative scenarios, across countries and over time. Finally, regarding the construction of the composite indicator, the application of fuzzy measures and Choquet integral increases substantially the model capability allowing taking into account the interactions that exist among the three main pillars of sustainability and the considered indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenza Campagnolo & Carlo Carraro & Fabio Eboli & Luca Farnia & Ramiro Parrado & Roberta Pierfederici, 2018. "The Ex-Ante Evaluation of Achieving Sustainable Development Goals," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 136(1), pages 73-116, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:soinre:v:136:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11205-017-1572-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11205-017-1572-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Caterina Cruciani & Silvio Giove & Mehmet Pinar & Matteo Sostero, 2012. "Constructing the FEEM Sustainability Index: A Choquet-Integral Application," Working Papers 2012.50, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Lorenza Campagnolo & Carlo Carraro & Marinella Davide & Fabio Eboli & Elisa Lanzi & Ramiro Parrado, 2016. "Can climate policy enhance sustainability?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 639-653, August.
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    2. Marcella De Filippo & Delio Colangelo & Luca Farnia, 2017. "Innovation and new business models in tourism," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2017(1), pages 149-168.
    3. Anetta Barska & Janina Jędrzejczak-Gas & Joanna Wyrwa & Krzysztof Kononowicz, 2020. "Multidimensional Assessment of the Social Development of EU Countries in the Context of Implementing the Concept of Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-24, September.
    4. Luca Farnia, 2019. "On the Use of Spectral Value Decomposition for the Construction of Composite Indices," Working Papers 2019.08, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Farnia, Luca & Cavalli, Laura & Vergalli, Sergio, 2019. "Italian Cities SDGs Composite Index: A Methodological Approach to Measure the Agenda 2030 at Urban Level," ES: Economics for Sustainability 291803, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) > ES: Economics for Sustainability.
    6. Hametner, Markus & Kostetckaia, Mariia, 2020. "Frontrunners and laggards: How fast are the EU member states progressing towards the sustainable development goals?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    7. Anita Breuer & Hannah Janetschek & Daniele Malerba, 2019. "Translating Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Interdependencies into Policy Advice," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Jari Lyytimäki & Kirsi-Marja Lonkila & Eeva Furman & Kaisa Korhonen-Kurki & Satu Lähteenoja, 2021. "Untangling the interactions of sustainability targets: synergies and trade-offs in the Northern European context," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 3458-3473, March.
    9. Renata Činčikaitė & Ieva Meidute-Kavaliauskiene, 2021. "An Integrated Competitiveness Assessment of the Baltic Capitals Based on the Principles of Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-14, March.
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    11. Alexander Semin & Oleg Betin & Lyudmila Namyatova & Elena Kireeva & Larisa Vatutina & Andrei Vorontcov & Nadezhda Bagaeva, 2021. "Sustainable Condition of the Agricultural Sector’s Environmental, Economic, and Social Components from the Perspective of Open Innovation," JOItmC, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, February.
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