IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v120y2024i13d10.1007_s11069-024-06686-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Historical trends and future implications of disasters in Honduras

Author

Listed:
  • Adolfo Quesada-Román

    (Universidad de Costa Rica)

  • Lidia Torres-Bernhard

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras)

  • Karla Hernández

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras)

  • Natalia Martínez-Rojas

    (Universidad de Costa Rica)

Abstract

In Honduras, a country located in Central America, the prevalence of hydrometeorological disasters due to its geographical location poses a challenge in the context of climate change. However, the lack of local disaster data highlights the need to investigate the primary natural hazards impacting Honduran municipalities. In this regard, the disaster database DesInventar was utilized, covering the period between 1978 and 2015, to identify the most recurrent disasters in terms of frequency and severity. The findings indicate that the municipalities most affected by disasters are mainly located in regions with higher population density, particularly in the municipalities of Distrito Central, San Pedro Sula, Danlí, El Progreso, La Ceiba, and Puerto Cortés. The most common hazards in Honduras are floods, wildfires, landslides, droughts, and storms. The results of this analysis hold crucial value for decision-makers in disaster risk, territorial, and environmental management in Honduras. These data provide a solid foundation for designing effective policies and measures aimed at reducing the adverse impacts of disasters in the country. Moreover, this methodological approach can be applied in developing nations with similar characteristics in other tropical regions, thereby contributing to a more efficient management of risks associated with disasters.

Suggested Citation

  • Adolfo Quesada-Román & Lidia Torres-Bernhard & Karla Hernández & Natalia Martínez-Rojas, 2024. "Historical trends and future implications of disasters in Honduras," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(13), pages 12313-12339, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:13:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06686-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06686-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06686-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06686-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel M. Sabet, 2021. "Bidding despite corruption: evidence from Honduras," Journal of Public Procurement, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 21(4), pages 399-417, August.
    2. Elias Garcia-Urquia & Kennet Axelsson, 2014. "The use of press data in the development of a database for rainfall-induced landslides in Tegucigalpa, Honduras, 1980–2005," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(2), pages 237-258, September.
    3. Edwin J Castellanos, 2022. "Central America in dire need of inclusive climate resilient development with support from the international community," PLOS Climate, Public Library of Science, vol. 1(11), pages 1-3, November.
    4. Strobl, Eric, 2012. "The economic growth impact of natural disasters in developing countries: Evidence from hurricane strikes in the Central American and Caribbean regions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 130-141.
    5. Mario Arroyo-Solórzano & Adolfo Quesada-Román & Gustavo Barrantes-Castillo, 2022. "Seismic and geomorphic assessment for coseismic landslides zonation in tropical volcanic contexts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 2811-2837, December.
    6. Stéphane Hallegatte & Adrien Vogt-Schilb & Julie Rozenberg & Mook Bangalore & Chloé Beaudet, 2020. "From Poverty to Disaster and Back: a Review of the Literature," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 223-247, April.
    7. Elias Garcia-Urquia, 2016. "Establishing rainfall frequency contour lines as thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides in Tegucigalpa, Honduras, 1980–2005," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 2107-2132, July.
    8. Paúl Carrión-Mero & Néstor Montalván-Burbano & Fernando Morante-Carballo & Adolfo Quesada-Román & Boris Apolo-Masache, 2021. "Worldwide Research Trends in Landslide Science," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-24, September.
    9. Jon Hellin & Martin Haigh & Frank Marks, 1999. "Rainfall characteristics of hurricane Mitch," Nature, Nature, vol. 399(6734), pages 316-316, May.
    10. K. Sudmeier-Rieux & T. Arce-Mojica & H. J. Boehmer & N. Doswald & L. Emerton & D. A. Friess & S. Galvin & M. Hagenlocher & H. James & P. Laban & C. Lacambra & W. Lange & B. G. McAdoo & C. Moos & J. My, 2021. "Scientific evidence for ecosystem-based disaster risk reduction," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 4(9), pages 803-810, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fitch-Fleischmann, Benjamin & Kresch, Evan Plous, 2021. "Story of the hurricane: Government, NGOs, and the difference in disaster relief targeting," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Susana Ferreira, 2024. "Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change: Economic Impacts and Adaptation Policies," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 16(1), pages 207-231, October.
    3. M. P. Amarasinghe & S. A. S. Kulathilaka & D. J. Robert & A. Zhou & H. A. G. Jayathissa, 2024. "Risk assessment and management of rainfall-induced landslides in tropical regions: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(3), pages 2179-2231, February.
    4. Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler & Qinhan Zhu & Alessio Ciullo & Jonas Peisker & Bart Hurk, 2023. "Differential Fiscal Performances of Plausible Disaster Events: A Storyline Approach for the Caribbean and Central American Governments under CCRIF," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 209-229, July.
    5. Nekeisha Spencer & Eric Strobl, 2025. "Modeling the Impact of Extreme Climate Events on Household Welfare: An Empirical Framework," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(4), pages 921-964, April.
    6. Gignoux, Jérémie & Menéndez, Marta, 2016. "Benefit in the wake of disaster: Long-run effects of earthquakes on welfare in rural Indonesia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 26-44.
    7. Toplu-Tutay, Gizem & Hasenbein, John J. & Kutanoglu, Erhan, 2024. "Impact of power outages depends on who loses it: Equity-informed grid resilience planning via stochastic optimization," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Allan Wright & Patrice Borda, 2016. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations Under Natural Disaster Shocks in Central America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 97076, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Spencer, Nekeisha & Polachek, Solomon, 2015. "Hurricane watch: Battening down the effects of the storm on local crop production," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 234-240.
    10. Tanaka, Ayumu, 2015. "The impacts of natural disasters on plants' growth: Evidence from the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) earthquake," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 31-41.
    11. Huang, Lulu & Liu, Qiannan & Tang, Yugang, 2024. "Long-term economic impact of disasters: Evidence from multiple earthquakes in China," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    12. Yanos Zylberberg, 2010. "Natural natural disasters and economic disruption," PSE Working Papers halshs-00564946, HAL.
    13. Subhani Keerthiratne & Richard S. J. Tol, 2017. "Impact of Natural Disasters on Financial Development," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 33-54, June.
    14. Chin‐Hsien Yu & Bruce A. McCarl & Jian‐Da Zhu, 2022. "Market response to typhoons: The role of information and expectations," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 89(2), pages 496-521, October.
    15. Hiroki Onuma & Kong Joo Shin & Shunsuke Managi, 2021. "Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Growth Impacts of Catastrophic and Non-catastrophic Natural Disasters," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 53-70, April.
    16. Sonia Akter & R. Quentin Grafton, 2021. "Do fires discriminate? Socio-economic disadvantage, wildfire hazard exposure and the Australian 2019–20 ‘Black Summer’ fires," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-21, April.
    17. Brei, Michael & Mohan, Preeya & Strobl, Eric, 2019. "The impact of natural disasters on the banking sector: Evidence from hurricane strikes in the Caribbean," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 232-239.
    18. Ryuhei Wakasugi & Ayumu Tanaka, 2013. "Recovery from the Mega-quake in Japan: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms," KIER Working Papers 867, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    19. Tauisi Taupo & Ilan Noy, 2017. "At the Very Edge of a Storm: The Impact of a Distant Cyclone on Atoll Islands," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 143-166, July.
    20. Mohammad Asif Hasan Khan & Pallab Mozumder & Nafisa Halim & Sisi Meng, 2025. "Understanding Evacuation Behavior During Cyclones: Evidence from Bangladesh," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 107-133, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:120:y:2024:i:13:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06686-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.