IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joprea/v42y2025i3d10.1007_s12546-025-09388-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intrahousehold bargaining power, intergenerational influence, and women's fertility preferences in Indonesia: insights from longitudinal panel data

Author

Listed:
  • Angga Bagus Bismoko

    (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Indonesia)

  • Dani Saputra

    (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Indonesia)

  • Najib

    (National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Indonesia)

Abstract

This study examines how post-marital residence, women’s decision-making authority, and intergenerational influence shape fertility preferences in Indonesia. Drawing on longitudinal data from the Indonesian Family Life Survey (1997–2014) and fixed-effects panel models, the analysis focuses on women with unstable fertility preferences—those whose preferences vary over time. The study is framed by the Second Demographic Transition (SDT), which anticipates declining fertility and rising individual autonomy, and the Reformasi period, which reshaped household structures and gender roles. Results show that greater decision-making authority among wives is associated with lower fertility preferences, particularly when intergenerational influence is present—supporting SDT expectations. Matrilocal residence significantly reduces fertility preferences, reflecting increased female agency in the post-Reformasi era. Economic status moderates intergenerational influence: dominant parents lower fertility preferences in lower-income households, while parents-in-law reinforce pronatalist norms in economically dependent families. However, these influences weaken in wealthier households, where couples exert greater autonomy. The findings highlight how fertility preferences are shaped by the interplay of autonomy, intergenerational dynamics, and economic conditions across the life course. This study contributes to SDT literature by demonstrating how macro-level social transitions—such as changing family structures and evolving gender roles—are expressed in household-level fertility decisions in a developing country context.

Suggested Citation

  • Angga Bagus Bismoko & Dani Saputra & Najib, 2025. "Intrahousehold bargaining power, intergenerational influence, and women's fertility preferences in Indonesia: insights from longitudinal panel data," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 1-45, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:joprea:v:42:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s12546-025-09388-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s12546-025-09388-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12546-025-09388-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12546-025-09388-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Becker, Gary S & Tomes, Nigel, 1976. "Child Endowments and the Quantity and Quality of Children," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(4), pages 143-162, August.
    2. Sarah Hayford, 2009. "The evolution of fertility expectations over the life course," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(4), pages 765-783, November.
    3. Ankita Mishra & Jaai Parasnis, 2017. "Peers and Fertility Preferences: An Empirical Investigation of the Role of Neighbours, Religion and Education," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 339-357, October.
    4. John Bongaarts & John B. Casterline, 2018. "From Fertility Preferences to Reproductive Outcomes in the Developing World," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 44(4), pages 793-809, December.
    5. Maximilian W. Müller & Joan Hamory & Jennifer Johnson-Hanks & Edward Miguel, 2022. "The illusion of stable fertility preferences," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 76(2), pages 169-189, May.
    6. Warren B. Miller, 2011. "REFEREED ARTICLES - Differences between fertility desires and intentions: implications for theory, research and policy," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 9(1), pages 75-98.
    7. Natalie Nitsche & Sarah R. Hayford, 2020. "Preferences, Partners, and Parenthood: Linking Early Fertility Desires, Marriage Timing, and Achieved Fertility," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(6), pages 1975-2001, December.
    8. Shahram Moeeni & Maryam Moeeni, 2021. "The Impact of Intra-household Bargaining Game on Progression to Third Birth in Iran," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 61-72, March.
    9. Eva Beaujouan & Anne Solaz, 2019. "Is the Family Size of Parents and Children Still Related? Revisiting the Cross-Generational Relationship Over the Last Century," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(2), pages 595-619, April.
    10. Wei-Jun Jean, Yeung & Desai, Sonalde & Gavin W., Jones, 2018. "Families in Southeast and South Asia," MPRA Paper 111170, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2018.
    11. Croissant, Yves & Millo, Giovanni, 2008. "Panel Data Econometrics in R: The plm Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i02).
    12. Icek Ajzen & Jane Klobas, 2013. "Fertility intentions," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 29(8), pages 203-232.
    13. Gary S. Becker & H. Gregg Lewis, 1974. "Interaction between Quantity and Quality of Children," NBER Chapters, in: Economics of the Family: Marriage, Children, and Human Capital, pages 81-90, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Xiana Bueno & Ignacio Pardo, 2023. "Gender-role attitudes and fertility ideals in Latin America," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 1-21, March.
    15. Croissant, Yves & Millo, Giovanni, 2008. "Panel Data Econometrics in R: The plm Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i02).
    16. Lolagene Coombs & Ronald Freedman, 1979. "Some roots of preference: Roles, activities and familial values," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 16(3), pages 359-376, August.
    17. William Axinn & Marin Clarkberg & Arland Thornton, 1994. "Family influences on family size preferences," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 31(1), pages 65-79, February.
    18. Umair Khalil & Sulagna Mookerjee & Arijit Ray, 2024. "Post-marital residence and female wellbeing," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 1-31, June.
    19. Minchung Hsu & Thu Trang Le, 2024. "Fertility decisions and the norm of intergenerational support to aging parents," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(1), pages 151-165, March.
    20. Ian M. Timæus & Tom A. Moultrie, 2020. "Pathways to Low Fertility: 50 Years of Limitation, Curtailment, and Postponement of Childbearing," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(1), pages 267-296, February.
    21. Müller, Maximilian W & Hamory, Joan & Johnson-Hanks, Jennifer & Miguel, Edward, 2022. "The illusion of stable fertility preferences," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt6w07w4qc, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    22. Elisabeth J. Croll, 2006. "The Intergenerational Contract in the Changing Asian Family," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 473-491.
    23. Abhishek Kumar & Valeria Bordone & Raya Muttarak, 2016. "Like Mother(-in-Law) Like Daughter? Influence of the Older Generation’s Fertility Behaviours on Women’s Desired Family Size in Bihar, India," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 32(5), pages 629-660, December.
    24. Anne Gauthier & Christoph Bühler & Joshua Goldstein & Saskia Hin, 2011. "Fertility preferences: what measuring second choices teaches us," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 9(1), pages 131-156.
    25. Ariane Utomo & Peter McDonald & Iwu Utomo & Terence Hull, 2021. "Do Individuals with Higher Education Prefer Smaller Families? Education, Fertility Preference and the Value of Children in Greater Jakarta," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 14(1), pages 139-161, February.
    26. Purnama Cahya Sari Silalahi & Diahhadi Setyonaluri, 2018. "My Mother, My Role Model: Mother’s Influence on Women’s Fertility Intention in Indonesia," Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Malaya & Malaysian Economic Association, vol. 55(1), pages 81-96, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Colleen Ray & Julia McQuillan & Arthur Greil & Stacy Tiemeyer & Sela Harcey, 2018. "Stability and change in personal fertility ideals among U.S. women in heterosexual relationships," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 39(16), pages 459-486.
    2. Finlay, Jocelyn E., 2021. "Women’s reproductive health and economic activity: A narrative review," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Kuhnt, Anne-Kristin & Buhr, Petra, 2016. "Biographical risks and their impact on uncertainty in fertility expectations: A gender-specific study based on the German Family Panel," Duisburger Beiträge zur soziologischen Forschung 2016-03, University of Duisburg-Essen, Institute of Sociology.
    4. Eva Beaujouan & Caroline Berghammer, 2019. "The Gap Between Lifetime Fertility Intentions and Completed Fertility in Europe and the United States: A Cohort Approach," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 38(4), pages 507-535, August.
    5. Ea Hoppe Blaabæk & Mads Meier Jæger & Joseph Molitoris, 2020. "Family Size and Educational Attainment: Cousins, Contexts, and Compensation," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 36(3), pages 575-600, July.
    6. Alison L. Booth & Hiau Joo Kee, 2009. "Intergenerational Transmission of Fertility Patterns," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(2), pages 183-208, April.
    7. Laura Victoria Urrego Ospina & Deici Alejandra Giraldo Hurtado, 2022. "The effect of crime on adolescent fertility in Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 90(2), pages 43-76.
    8. Elena Ambrosetti & Aurora Angeli & Marco Novelli, 2021. "Childbearing intentions among Egyptian men and women: The role of gender-equitable attitudes and women’s empowerment," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(51), pages 1229-1270.
    9. Maria Rita Testa & Vegard Skirbekk & Valeria Bordone & Beata Osiewalska, 2016. "Are daughters’ childbearing intentions related to their mothers’ socio-economic status?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(21), pages 581-616.
    10. Okada, Keisuke, 2012. "The effects of female HIV/AIDS status on fertility and child health in Cambodia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 560-570.
    11. Herrera-Almanza, Catalina & McCarthy, Aine Seitz, 2025. "Strategic Responses to Disparities in Spousal Desired Fertility: Experimental Evidence from Rural Tanzania," IZA Discussion Papers 18115, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Giovanni Millo & Gaetano Carmeci, 2011. "Non-life insurance consumption in Italy: a sub-regional panel data analysis," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 273-298, September.
    13. Baudin, Thomas, 2010. "A Role For Cultural Transmission In Fertility Transitions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 454-481, September.
    14. Sascha Becker & Francesco Cinnirella & Ludger Woessmann, 2010. "The trade-off between fertility and education: evidence from before the demographic transition," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 177-204, September.
    15. Shinsuke Asakawa, 2020. "Can Child Benefits Shape Parents' Attitudes toward Childrearing in Japan?: Effects of Child Benefit Policy Expansions," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 19-04-Rev.2, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    16. Martin Dribe & Jonas Helgertz & Bart van de Putte, 2012. "Intergenerational social mobility during modernisation: a micro-level study of a community in southern Sweden 1830-1968," Working Papers 12013, Economic History Society.
    17. Humlum, Maria Knoth & Kristoffersen, Jannie H.G. & Vejlin, Rune, 2017. "College admissions decisions, educational outcomes, and family formation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 215-230.
    18. Philip Oreopoulos & Kjell G. Salvanes, 2009. "How large are returns to schooling? Hint: Money isn't everything," NBER Working Papers 15339, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Thomas Baudin, 2011. "Family Policies: What Does the Standard Endogenous Fertility Model Tell Us?," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 13(4), pages 555-593, August.
    20. Hötte, Kerstin, 2023. "Demand-pull, technology-push, and the direction of technological change," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(5).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joprea:v:42:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s12546-025-09388-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.