Non-asymptotic tests of model performance
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/s00199-008-0408-y
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to
for a different version of it.References listed on IDEAS
- Jensen, Michael C & Bennington, George A, 1970. "Random Walks and Technical Theories: Some Additional Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 469-482, May.
- Lo, Andrew W & MacKinlay, A Craig, 1990.
"Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(3), pages 431-467.
- Andrew W. Lo & A. Craig MacKinlay, 1989. "Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 3001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lo, Andrew W. (Andrew Wen-Chuan) & MacKinlay, Archie Craig, 1955-, 1989. "Data-snooping biases in tests of financial asset pricing models," Working papers 3020-89., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
- Halbert White, 2000. "A Reality Check for Data Snooping," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1097-1126, September.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Huiming Zhang & Haoyu Wei & Guang Cheng, 2023. "Tight Non-asymptotic Inference via Sub-Gaussian Intrinsic Moment Norm," Papers 2303.07287, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
- Haojie Dong & Huiming Zhang & Yuanyuan Zhang, 2025. "Non-asymptotic confidence region construction in metric spaces," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 66(6), pages 1-36, October.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Wang, Shan & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Li, Sai-Ping & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2015. "Testing the performance of technical trading rules in the Chinese markets based on superior predictive test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 439(C), pages 114-123.
- Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan, 2014. "Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in t," CEPR Discussion Papers 10018, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Shan Wang & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Sai-Ping Li & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2015. "Testing the performance of technical trading rules in the Chinese market," Papers 1504.06397, arXiv.org.
- Chen, Cheng-Wei & Huang, Chin-Sheng & Lai, Hung-Wei, 2009. "The impact of data snooping on the testing of technical analysis: An empirical study of Asian stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 580-591, September.
- Rapach, David & Zhou, Guofu, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 328-383, Elsevier.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan & Li, Yan, 2024.
"The out-of-sample performance of carry trades,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Wang, Zigan, 2020. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of Carry Trades," CEPR Discussion Papers 15052, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Kuang, P. & Schröder, M. & Wang, Q., 2014.
"Illusory profitability of technical analysis in emerging foreign exchange markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 192-205.
- P Kuang & M Schroder & Q Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," Discussion Papers 13-09, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Pei Kuang & M. Schröder & Q. Wang, 2013. "Illusory Profitability of Technical Analysis in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets," CDMA Working Paper Series 201302, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan, 2016. "Technical trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 188-208.
- Bajgrowicz, Pierre & Scaillet, Olivier, 2012.
"Technical trading revisited: False discoveries, persistence tests, and transaction costs,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 473-491.
- Pierre Bajgrowicz & Olivier Scaillet, 2008. "Technical Trading Revisited: False Discoveries, Persistence Tests, and Transaction Costs," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 08-05, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Jul 2009.
- Aleksejs Krecetovs & Pasquale Della Corte, 2016. "Macro uncertainty and currency premia," 2016 Meeting Papers 624, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan & Li, Yan, 2025. "On the profitability of influential carry-trade strategies: Data-snooping bias and post-publication performance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Meredith Beechey & David Gruen & James Vickery, 2000. "The Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Survey," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- McCracken,M.W. & West,K.D., 2001. "Inference about predictive ability," Working papers 14, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
- Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, March.
- Stefan Nagel, 2013.
"Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 167-199, November.
- Stefan Nagel, 2012. "Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 18554, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nagel, Stefan, 2012. "Empirical Cross-Sectional Asset Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 9227, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
- Amir H. Alizadeh & Roar Os Ådland & Steen Koekebakker, 2007. "Predictive power and unbiasedness of implied forward charter rates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 385-403.
- Chinco, Alex & Neuhierl, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021.
"Estimating the anomaly base rate,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 101-126.
- Alexander M. Chinco & Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2019. "Estimating The Anomaly Base Rate," NBER Working Papers 26493, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Cooper & Huseyin Gulen, 2006. "Is Time-Series-Based Predictability Evident in Real Time?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1263-1292, May.
- Fang, Jiali & Jacobsen, Ben & Qin, Yafeng, 2014.
"Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out-of-sample test,"
Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45.
- Jiali Fang & Ben Jacobsen & Yafeng Qin, 2014. "Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out‐of‐sample test," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45, January.
More about this item
Keywords
; ; ; ; ; ;JEL classification:
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:joecth:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:495-514. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.
Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/joecth/v41y2009i3p495-514.html