IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jecfin/v42y2018i3d10.1007_s12197-017-9403-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Overnight versus day returns in gold and gold related assets

Author

Listed:
  • Laurence E. Blose

    (Grand Valley State University)

  • Vijay Gondhalekar

    (Grand Valley State University)

  • Alan Kort

    (Fifth Third Bank Investment Management Group)

Abstract

Overnight returns are significantly positive while day returns are significantly negative in the COMEX gold front futures contract, the gold spot market (London Fix), gold mining company stocks, and gold related closed end mutual funds and exchange traded funds. The findings are consistent with gold price being (too) high at the opening of the various markets. The asymmetry is shown to be present in both up and down markets for gold. The results are economically important even with transaction costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurence E. Blose & Vijay Gondhalekar & Alan Kort, 2018. "Overnight versus day returns in gold and gold related assets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(3), pages 526-549, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:42:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s12197-017-9403-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s12197-017-9403-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12197-017-9403-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12197-017-9403-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Clifford A. Ball & Walter N. Torous & Adrian E. Tschoegl, 1982. "Gold and the “weekend effect”," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 2(2), pages 175-182, June.
    2. Christopher K. Ma, 1986. "A further investigation of the day‐of‐the‐week effect in the gold market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(3), pages 409-419, September.
    3. Berkman, Henk & Koch, Paul D. & Tuttle, Laura & Zhang, Ying Jenny, 2012. "Paying Attention: Overnight Returns and the Hidden Cost of Buying at the Open," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(4), pages 715-741, August.
    4. Ben Branch & Aixin Ma & Jill Sawyer, 2010. "Around‐the‐Clock Performance of Closed‐End Funds," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 39(3), pages 1177-1196, September.
    5. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015. "The financial economics of gold — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.
    6. Blose, Laurence E. & Shieh, Joseph C. P., 1995. "The impact of gold price on the value of gold mining stock," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 125-139.
    7. Laurence E. Blose & Vijay Gondhalekar, 2013. "Weekend gold returns in bull and bear markets," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 53(3), pages 609-622, September.
    8. Baur, Dirk G., 2013. "The autumn effect of gold," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 1-11.
    9. Riedel, Christoph & Wagner, Niklas, 2015. "Is risk higher during non-trading periods? The risk trade-off for intraday versus overnight market returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 53-64.
    10. Ledgerwood Shaun D. & Carpenter Paul R., 2012. "A Framework for the Analysis of Market Manipulation," Review of Law & Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 253-295, September.
    11. Ana-Maria Fuertes & Elena Kalotychou & Natasa Todorovic, 2015. "Daily volume, intraday and overnight returns for volatility prediction: profitability or accuracy?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(2), pages 251-278, August.
    12. Todorova, Neda & Souček, Michael, 2014. "The impact of trading volume, number of trades and overnight returns on forecasting the daily realized range," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 332-340.
    13. Michael A Kelly & Steven P Clark, 2011. "Returns in trading versus non-trading hours: The difference is day and night," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(2), pages 132-145, June.
    14. Umberto Triacca & Fulvia Focker, 2014. "Estimating overnight volatility of asset returns by using the generalized dynamic factor model approach," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 235-254, October.
    15. Carole Comerton-Forde & Tālis J. Putniņš, 2014. "Stock Price Manipulation: Prevalence and Determinants," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 23-66.
    16. L. E. Blose & V. Gondhalekar, 2014. "Overnight gold returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(18), pages 1269-1272, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015. "The financial economics of gold — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.
    2. Ntim, Collins G. & English, John & Nwachukwu, Jacinta & Wang, Yan, 2015. "On the efficiency of the global gold markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 218-236.
    3. Wang, Xinya & Liu, Huifang & Huang, Shupei, 2019. "Identification of the daily seasonality in gold returns and volatilities: Evidence from Shanghai and London," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 522-531.
    4. Qiao, Kenan & Dam, Lammertjan, 2020. "The overnight return puzzle and the “T+1” trading rule in Chinese stock markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    5. Linton, O. & Wu, J., 2016. "A coupled component GARCH model for intraday and overnight volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1671, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    6. Thi Hong Van Hoang & Zhenzhen Zhu & Bing Xiao & Wing‐Keung Wong, 2020. "The seasonality of gold prices in China does the risk‐aversion level matter?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 2617-2664, September.
    7. Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Karaa, Rabaa, 2023. "From dusk till dawn (and vice versa): Overnight-versus-daytime reversals and feedback trading," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    8. Patrizia Perras & Niklas Wagner, 2020. "On the pricing of overnight market risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1307-1327, September.
    9. Hendershott, Terrence & Livdan, Dmitry & Rösch, Dominik, 2020. "Asset pricing: A tale of night and day," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(3), pages 635-662.
    10. Joao Dionisio Monteiro & Jose Luis Miralles-Quiros & Jose Ramos Pires Manso, 2018. "Is There Seasonality in Traded and Non-Traded Period Returns in the US Equity Market? A Multiple Structural Change Approach," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(1), pages 71-98, February.
    11. Abdelbari El Khamlichi & Thi Hong Van Hoang & Wing‐keung Wong, 2016. "Is Gold Different for Islamic and Conventional Portfolios? A Sectorial Analysis," Post-Print hal-02965765, HAL.
    12. Semenov, Andrei, 2015. "The small-cap effect in the predictability of individual stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 178-197.
    13. Insana, Alessandra, 2022. "Does systematic risk change when markets close? An analysis using stocks’ beta," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    14. Joscha Beckmann & Theo Berger & Robert Czudaj & Thi-Hong-Van Hoang, 2019. "Tail dependence between gold and sectorial stocks in China: perspectives for portfolio diversification," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1117-1144, March.
    15. Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Zhu, Zhenzhen & El Khamlichi, Abdelbari & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019. "Does the Shari’ah screening impact the gold-stock nexus? A sectorial analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 617-626.
    16. Saadon, Yossi & Schreiber, Ben Z., 2023. "Newspapers tone and the overnight-intraday stock return anomaly," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Kusen, Alex & Rudolf, Markus, 2019. "Feedback trading: Strategies during day and night with global interconnectedness," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 438-463.
    18. Rupel Nargunam & William W. S. Wei & N. Anuradha, 2021. "Investigating seasonality, policy intervention and forecasting in the Indian gold futures market: a comparison based on modeling non-constant variance using two different methods," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15, December.
    19. Lin, Chaonan & Chang, Hui-Wen & Chou, Robin K., 2023. "Overnight versus intraday returns of anomalies in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Linton, Oliver & Wu, Jianbin, 2020. "A coupled component DCS-EGARCH model for intraday and overnight volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 176-201.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gold price; Market efficiency; Gold mutual fund; Gold;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:42:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s12197-017-9403-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.