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The seasonality of gold prices in China: Does the risk-aversion level matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Thi Hong Van Hoang

    (LOG - Laboratoire Orléanais de Gestion (1998-2011) - UO - Université d'Orléans)

  • Zhenzhen Zhu
  • Bing Xiao

    (CleRMa - Clermont Recherche Management - ESC Clermont-Ferrand - École Supérieure de Commerce (ESC) - Clermont-Ferrand - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020])

  • Wing‐keung Wong

Abstract

This article aims to investigate the seasonality of gold prices at the Shanghai Gold Exchange over the 2002–2016 period. Our contributions rely in the distinction between risk‐averse and risk‐seeking investors regarding their investment strategies. The results show the existence of positive Monday and January effects. However, the Monday effect is more suitable to risk‐seeking investors while the January effect is more suitable to risk‐averse investors in bearish periods only. A robustness check shows that the Monday effect does not hold on gold futures prices. These results indicate the importance to consider the risk‐aversion level of investors in seasonal investment strategies.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Thi Hong Van Hoang & Zhenzhen Zhu & Bing Xiao & Wing‐keung Wong, 2018. "The seasonality of gold prices in China: Does the risk-aversion level matter?," Post-Print hal-01903522, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01903522
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    Cited by:

    1. Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Kai-Yin Woo & Chulin Mai & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review on Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-51, March.
    3. Bing Xiao & Philippe Maillebuau, 2020. "The Seasonal Effect On The Chinese Gold Market Using An Empirical Analysis Of The Shanghai Gold Exchange," Post-Print hal-02905216, HAL.
    4. Wong, W.-K. & Lean, H.H. & McAleer, M.J. & Tsai, F.-T., 2018. "Why did Warrant Markets Close in China but not Taiwan?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    5. Kim-Hung Pho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Optimal Solution Techniques in Decision Sciences A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(1), pages 114-161, March.
    6. Wing-Keung Wong & Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Feng-Tse Tsai, 2018. "Why Are Warrant Markets Sustained in Taiwan but Not in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
    7. Borgards, Oliver & Czudaj, Robert L. & Hoang, Thi Hong Van, 2021. "Price overreactions in the commodity futures market: An intraday analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic impact," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    8. Kim-Hung Pho & Thi Diem-Chinh Ho & Tuan-Kiet Tran & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Moment Generating Function, Expectation And Variance Of Ubiquitous Distributions With Applications In Decision Sciences: A Review," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(2), pages 65-150, June.
    9. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. Thi‐Hong‐Van Hoang & Wojciech Przychodzen & Justyna Przychodzen & Elysé A. Segbotangni, 2020. "Does it pay to be green? A disaggregated analysis of U.S. firms with green patents," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 1331-1361, March.
    11. Esperanza García-Gonzalo & Paulino José García-Nieto & Gregorio Fidalgo Valverde & Pedro Riesgo Fernández & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras & Sergio Luis Suárez Gómez, 2024. "Hybrid DE-Optimized GPR and NARX/SVR Models for Forecasting Gold Spot Prices: A Case Study of the Global Commodities Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, March.

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