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Multi-criteria decision analysis for forest fire risk assessment by coupling AHP and GIS: method and case study

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  • Narissara Nuthammachot

    (Prince of Songkla University)

  • Dimitris Stratoulias

    (Ton Duc Thang University
    Ton Duc Thang University)

Abstract

Fire is one of the main causes of environmental and ecosystem change. Geospatial data, derived from satellite images and surveying observations, are a useful tool in managing land use and land cover changes. In this paper, we present a multi-criteria-based geographical information system (GIS) for fire risk assessment and fire potential mapping in a peat swamp forest at Hua Sai district, Thailand. Fifty-five fire points in peat swamp areas were reported from 2012 to 2016. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and GIS methods were used synergistically to analyze the following contributing factors: elevation, slope, aspect, precipitation, distance from river, distance from settlement and land use. The results of the present study indicate that the predicted fire risk areas from the methodology proposed are found to be in agreement with recorded past fire events. The fire risk map produced can be used for planning and management of wildland fire events in the future. GIS multi-criteria-based models have been developed in the context of fire prognosis; however, most of them attribute weights from simple pair-wise comparisons; we showcase that the integration of AHP provides accurate results for this study area in Thailand.

Suggested Citation

  • Narissara Nuthammachot & Dimitris Stratoulias, 2021. "Multi-criteria decision analysis for forest fire risk assessment by coupling AHP and GIS: method and case study," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(12), pages 17443-17458, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:12:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01394-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01394-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yongyut Tiyapairat & Edsel Sajor, 2012. "State simplification, heterogeneous causes of vegetation fires and implications on local haze management: case study in Thailand," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 14(6), pages 1047-1064, December.
    2. Narayan Sastry, 2002. "Forest fires, air pollution, and mortality in Southeast Asia," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 39(1), pages 1-23, February.
    3. Ha Minh Nguyen & Le Dang Nguyen, 2018. "The relationship between urbanization and economic growth," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(2), pages 316-339, February.
    4. Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Farzad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2020. "The Impacts of Air Pollution on Health and Economy in Southeast Asia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Chaudhary, Pandav & Chhetri, Sachin Kumar & Joshi, Kiran Man & Shrestha, Basanta Man & Kayastha, Prabin, 2016. "Application of an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in the GIS interface for suitable fire site selection: A case study from Kathmandu Metropolitan City, Nepal," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 60-71.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zühal Özcan & İnci Caglayan & Özgür Kabak & Fatmagül Kılıç Gül, 2025. "Integrated risk mapping for forest fire management using the analytical hierarchy process and ordered weighted average: a case study in southern Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(1), pages 959-1001, January.
    2. Hongrui Wen & Qiaozhen Guo & Yuhuai Zeng & Zepeng Wu & Zhenhui Sun, 2022. "Study on forest fire risk in Conghua district of Guangzhou city based on multi-source data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 3163-3183, December.
    3. Prija Djatmika & Prischa Listiningrum & Theresia B. Sumarno & Dararida F. Mahira & Corinthias P. M. Sianipar, 2023. "Just Transition in Biofuel Development towards Low-Carbon Economy: Multi-Actor Perspectives on Policies and Practices in Indonesia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-29, December.
    4. Yinyuan Zhang & Hui Ci & Hui Yang & Ran Wang & Zhaojin Yan, 2025. "Rainfall-Induced Geological Hazard Susceptibility Assessment in the Henan Section of the Yellow River Basin: Multi-Model Approaches Supporting Disaster Mitigation and Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-22, May.
    5. Guohua Chen & Qin Yang & Xuexi Chen & Kongxing Huang & Tao Zeng & Zhi Yuan, 2021. "Methodology of Urban Safety and Security Assessment Based on the Overall Risk Management Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-26, June.
    6. Mohsen Alawi & Dongzhu Chu & Seba Hammad, 2023. "Resilience of Public Open Spaces to Earthquakes: A Case Study of Chongqing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    7. Mohsen Alawi & Dongzhu Chu, 2025. "Assessing and enhancing public space resilience to pandemics and earthquakes: a case study of Chongqing, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(2), pages 2023-2052, January.

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