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Scenarios of the compostable packaging market development: implications for state policies

Author

Listed:
  • Aneta Pluta-Zaremba

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

  • Barbara Ocicka

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

  • Jolanta Turek

    (SGH Warsaw School of Economics)

  • Jakub Brzeziński

    (University of Lodz)

  • Tammara Soma

    (Simon Fraser University)

  • Benny Tjahjono

    (Coventry University)

Abstract

In the face of a growing plastic pollution problem, global efforts are being directed toward more sustainable solutions in the packaging sector in accordance with circular economy principles. To find more sustainable alternatives, businesses are exploring innovative types of materials and packaging such as bio-based, biodegradable, and compostable plastics. Although the development of compostable packaging applications is desirable for sustainability reasons, there is uncertainty in determining the growth trajectory of this packaging sector. The aim of this paper is to investigate the possible pathways shaped by national policy leading to the compostable packaging market expansion under uncertain conditions, in order to show enterprises and policy makers the importance of involvement in the national circular system to meet the climate policy targets. This study employed a qualitative scenario technique based on the Global Business Network planning approach and focus group interviews conducted among representatives of the Polish bio-based biodegradable packaging market to gather and assess data for describing possible future pathways. This is one of the first studies to use qualitative scenario methods to analyze the possible scenarios for the market growth of compostable packaging and to define transition pathways in relation to national policy and economic conditions. The results of this study reveal that national policy has a decisive role in the development of the compostable packaging market and the closure of its life cycle in line with the circular economy principles. It drives positive and far-reaching changes when it uses a systemic approach and considers all elements necessary for circularity.

Suggested Citation

  • Aneta Pluta-Zaremba & Barbara Ocicka & Jolanta Turek & Jakub Brzeziński & Tammara Soma & Benny Tjahjono, 2025. "Scenarios of the compostable packaging market development: implications for state policies," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 52(3), pages 393-409, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:decisn:v:52:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s40622-025-00435-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s40622-025-00435-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adele Folino & Aimilia Karageorgiou & Paolo S. Calabrò & Dimitrios Komilis, 2020. "Biodegradation of Wasted Bioplastics in Natural and Industrial Environments: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-49, July.
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    JEL classification:

    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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