IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/anresc/v52y2014i1p19-40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A spatio-temporal analysis of population and employment growth for Southern California

Author

Listed:
  • Simon Choi

    ()

  • Changkeun Park

    ()

  • JiYoung Park

    ()

Abstract

The population–employment (P–E) relationship in the multicounty region has not been considered enough to document, although numerous future regional policy issues affecting local areas have required producing a technically sound and politically acceptable projection of population or employment with the US metropolitan planning organizations. This study intended to answer two key questions based on the county-level data sets of P–E ratio for Southern California. First, we investigated whether the Southern California region has been or will be experiencing any convergence in the P–E ratio gap among counties in the long-term perspective. Second, we tested to understand whether a vector autoregression (VAR) approach contributes to developing the county-level P–E ratio projection model for the region. Finally, we validated the VAR projections using independent data sets. The quantified information in the present study can help regional and subregional stakeholders encourage and initiate an effective discussion about the future of the region. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Choi & Changkeun Park & JiYoung Park, 2014. "A spatio-temporal analysis of population and employment growth for Southern California," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 52(1), pages 19-40, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:52:y:2014:i:1:p:19-40
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-013-0572-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00168-013-0572-2
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thomas de Graaff & Frank G. van Oort & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2012. "Regional Population–Employment Dynamics Across Different Sectors Of The Economy," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(1), pages 60-84, February.
    2. Cooke, Timothy W., 1978. "Causality reconsidered: A note," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 538-542, October.
    3. Gerke Hoogstra & Jouke Van Dijk & Raymond J.G.M. Florax, 2005. "Do jobs follow people or people follow jobs? A meta-analysis of Carlino-Mills studies," ERSA conference papers ersa05p737, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Edward L. Glaeser & Giacomo A. M. Ponzetto, 2010. "Did the Death of Distance Hurt Detroit and Help New York?," NBER Chapters,in: Agglomeration Economics, pages 303-337 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Thurston Lawrence & Yezer Anthony M. J., 1994. "Causality in the Suburbanization of Population and Employment," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 105-118, January.
    6. Marlon G. Boarnet & Kenneth Joh & Walter Siembab & William Fulton & Mai Thi Nguyen, 2011. "Retrofitting the Suburbs to Increase Walking: Evidence from a Land-use-Travel Study," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(1), pages 129-159, January.
    7. Gordon Mulligan & Mark Partridge & John Carruthers, 2012. "Central place theory and its reemergence in regional science," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(2), pages 405-431, April.
    8. G F Mulligan & A C Vias & S M Glavac, 1999. "Initial diagnostics of a regional adjustment model," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 31(5), pages 855-876, May.
    9. Hoover, Edgar M., 1941. "Interstate Redistribution of Population, 1850–1940," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(02), pages 199-205, November.
    10. Steinnes, Donald N., 1977. "Causality and intraurban location," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 69-79, January.
    11. Mills, Edwin S. & Price, Richard, 1984. "Metropolitan suburbanization and central city problems," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    R12; R23; R58;

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:52:y:2014:i:1:p:19-40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sonal Shukla) or (Rebekah McClure). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.