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Feedbacks and Systematic Risk of Denominated Debt in Poland (Sprzezenia zwrotne i ryzyko systemowe kredytow denominowanych w Polsce)

Author

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  • Ireneusz Dabrowski

    (Kolegium Zarzadzania i Finansow, Szkola Glowna Handlowa w Warszawie)

Abstract

On January 15th 2015, when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) suddenly announced that it would no longer hold the Swiss franc at a fixed exchange rate with the euro, there was panic. The franc soared, which drastically affected the cost of loans taken out in francs. Poland is in the second place in the European Union in terms of outstanding loans in that currency. At the end of January 2015 housing loans in CHF in Poland were valued at 149.6 billion zlotys (PLN). The problem of turbulence arising from foreign currency loans and loans denominated in foreign currencies is multi-layered and complex. The article presents the characteristics of the risks of loans denominated in CHF, taking into account individual risks and systemic risk. The final effect of exceeding a critical mass of systemic risk is the emergence of positive feedback and the threat of losing control over the dynamics of the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Ireneusz Dabrowski, 2015. "Feedbacks and Systematic Risk of Denominated Debt in Poland (Sprzezenia zwrotne i ryzyko systemowe kredytow denominowanych w Polsce)," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 13(55), pages 170-181.
    • Handle: RePEc:sgm:pzwzuw:v:13:i:55:y:2015:p:170-181
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elliott, William B. & Huffman, Stephen P. & Makar, Stephen D., 2003. "Foreign-denominated debt and foreign currency derivatives: complements or substitutes in hedging foreign currency risk?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 123-139, April.
    2. Michael D. Bordo & Christopher Meissner & Angela Redish, 2003. "How "Original Sin" was Overcome: The Evolution of External Debt Denominated in Domestic Currencies in the United States and the British Dominions," NBER Working Papers 9841, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    feedbacks; denominated debt; systematic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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