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Renewable Natural Resource Shocks and Conflict Intensity

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  • Kishore Gawande
  • Devesh Kapur
  • Shanker Satyanath

Abstract

An interesting stream of the civil conflict literature has identified an important subset of civil conflicts with disastrous consequences, that is, those that emerge as a consequence of shocks to renewable natural resources like land and water. This literature is, however, reliant on qualitative case studies when claiming a causal relationship leading from renewable resource shocks to conflict. In this article, we seek to advance the literature by drawing out the implications of a well-known formal model of the renewable resources–conflict relationship and then conducting rigorous statistical tests of its implications in the case of a serious ongoing civil conflict in India. We find that a one standard deviation decrease in our measure of renewable resources increases killings by nearly 60 percent over the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Kishore Gawande & Devesh Kapur & Shanker Satyanath, 2017. "Renewable Natural Resource Shocks and Conflict Intensity," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(1), pages 140-172, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:61:y:2017:i:1:p:140-172
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002714567949
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Oliver Vanden Eynde, 2018. "Targets of Violence: Evidence from India's Naxalite Conflict," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(609), pages 887-916, March.
    2. Oeindrila Dube & Juan F. Vargas, 2013. "Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(4), pages 1384-1421.
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    6. Verwimp, Philip, 2005. "An economic profile of peasant perpetrators of genocide: Micro-level evidence from Rwanda," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 297-323, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thiemo Fetzer, 2020. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(6), pages 3337-3375.
    2. Jacob N. Shapiro & Oliver Vanden Eynde, 2023. "Fiscal Incentives for Conflict: Evidence from India's Red Corridor," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(1), pages 217-225, January.
    3. Fetzer, Thiemo, 2019. "Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from India," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1220, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    4. Marius Mehrl & Paul W. Thurner, 2020. "Military Technology and Human Loss in Intrastate Conflict: The Conditional Impact of Arms Imports," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 64(6), pages 1172-1196, July.
    5. Alex Dickson & Ian A MacKenzie & Petros G Sekeris, 2018. "The role of markets and preferences on resource conflicts," Working Papers 1819, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.

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