IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/fortra/v59y2024i1p117-145.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How Can Tariff Elimination and Trade Facilitation Affect East African Economies?

Author

Listed:
  • Pousseni Bakouan
  • Mahamadou Diarra
  • Idrissa M. Ouedraogo

Abstract

The article assesses the potential economic implications of tariff elimination and trade facilitation (TF) in the context of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement for East Africa. Using the most recent GTAP database and computable general equilibrium model, the article provides additional evidence on the socio-economic benefits of the ongoing trade integration process. The results show that the elimination of tariffs would improve economic dynamism in most sectors of activity and household consumption. However, the elimination of tariffs alone would not be sufficient to achieve a significant level of trade integration. From a policy perspective, although a gradual implementation of tariff elimination is more beneficial for the zone, the results highlight the relevance of combining tariff elimination with complementary TF reforms. These reforms amplify the socio-economic gain from the AfCFTA. JEL Codes: F13, F14, F15, E23, C68

Suggested Citation

  • Pousseni Bakouan & Mahamadou Diarra & Idrissa M. Ouedraogo, 2024. "How Can Tariff Elimination and Trade Facilitation Affect East African Economies?," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(1), pages 117-145, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:fortra:v:59:y:2024:i:1:p:117-145
    DOI: 10.1177/00157325231165643
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00157325231165643
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/00157325231165643?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefan Dercon & Daniel O. Gilligan & John Hoddinott & Tassew Woldehanna, 2009. "The Impact of Agricultural Extension and Roads on Poverty and Consumption Growth in Fifteen Ethiopian Villages," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(4), pages 1007-1021.
    2. Portugal-Perez, Alberto & Wilson, John S., 2009. "Why trade facilitation matters to Africa1," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 379-416, July.
    3. Ilaria Fusacchia & Jean Balié & Luca Salvatici, 2022. "The AfCFTA impact on agricultural and food trade: a value added perspective," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 49(1), pages 237-284.
    4. Grossman, Gene M & Helpman, Elhanan, 1990. "Trade, Innovation, and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 86-91, May.
    5. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    6. Meysut Saygili & Ralph Peters & Christian Knebel, 2018. "African Continental Free Trade Area: Challenges and Opportunities of Tariff Reductions," UNCTAD Blue Series Papers 82, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    7. Francisco L. Rivera-Batiz & Luis A. Rivera-Batiz, 2018. "International Trade with Endogenous Technological Change," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Francisco L Rivera-Batiz & Luis A Rivera-Batiz (ed.), International Trade, Capital Flows and Economic Development, chapter 2, pages 33-70, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Okabe, Misa & Urata, Shujiro, 2014. "The impact of AFTA on intra-AFTA trade," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 12-31.
    9. World Bank, 2020. "The African Continental Free Trade Area," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 34139, December.
    10. Ando, Mitsuyo & Urata, Shujiro & Yamanouchi, Kenta, 2022. "Do Japan’s Free Trade Agreements Increase its International Trade?," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 37(1), pages 1-29.
    11. Shepherd, Ben & Wilson, John S., 2009. "Trade facilitation in ASEAN member countries: Measuring progress and assessing priorities," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 367-383, September.
    12. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 2015. "Globalization and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 100-104, May.
    13. Patrice Rélouendé Zidouemba & Mustapha Sadni Jallab, 2021. "The African Continental Free Trade Area and the trade facilitation agreement: some regional macroeconomic impacts," International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 14(3), pages 325-337.
    14. Iwanow, Tomasz & Kirkpatrick, Colin, 2009. "Trade Facilitation and Manufactured Exports: Is Africa Different?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1039-1050, June.
    15. Chahir Zaki, 2015. "How Does Trade Facilitation Affect International Trade?," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 27(1), pages 156-185, January.
    16. Thanh Dinh Su & Canh Phuc Nguyen, 2022. "Productive Contribution of Public Spending and Human Capital in Developing Countries Revisited: The Role of Trade Openness," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(1), pages 66-84, February.
    17. Ghodsi, Mahdi, 2020. "How do technical barriers to trade affect foreign direct investment? Tariff jumping versus regulation haven hypotheses," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 269-278.
    18. Fernando Perera-Tallo, 2003. "Growth Due To Globalization," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(2), pages 651-676, May.
    19. Portugal-Perez, Alberto & Wilson, John S., 2012. "Export Performance and Trade Facilitation Reform: Hard and Soft Infrastructure," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(7), pages 1295-1307.
    20. Minor, Peter & Tsigas, Marinos, 2008. "Impacts of Better Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries: Analysis with a New GTAP Database for the Value of Time in Trade," Conference papers 331702, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    21. Michael Masiya, 2019. "Revenue Implications of Continental Free Trade Area: A Short‐run Perspective of Malawi," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(4), pages 529-538, December.
    22. Dani Rodrik, 1992. "The Limits of Trade Policy Reform in Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 6(1), pages 87-105, Winter.
    23. Grossman, Gene M. & Helpman, Elhanan, 1991. "Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(2-3), pages 517-526, April.
    24. Simon Yannick Fouda Ekobena & Adama Ekberg Coulibaly & Mama Keita & Antonio Pedro, 2021. "Potentials of the African Continental Free Trade Area: A combined partial and general equilibrium modeling assessment for Central Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 452-465, September.
    25. Francis Ejones & Frank W. Agbola & Amir Mahmood, 2021. "Do regional trade agreements promote international trade? New empirical evidence from the East African Community," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(7), pages 1020-1053, October.
    26. Habtamu Shiferaw Amogne & Taiji Hagiwara, 2021. "Impact of alternative regional trade arrangements on the Ethiopian economy," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
    27. Daniel Sakyi & José Villaverde & Adolfo Maza & Isaac Bonuedi, 2017. "The Effects of Trade and Trade Facilitation on Economic Growth in Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 350-361, June.
    28. Yvonne Umulisa, 2020. "Estimation of the East African Community's trade benefits from promoting intra‐regional trade," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(1), pages 55-66, March.
    29. Bakouan, Pousseni & Dialga, Issaka & Zidouemba, Patrice Rélouendé, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of the Effects of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement on the Economic Impacts of COVID-19 in North and Southern Africa," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 37(1), pages 121-157.
    30. Alexander Bilson Darku & Richard Yeboah, 2018. "Economic openness and income growth in developing countries: a regional comparative analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(8), pages 855-869, February.
    31. Mr. Lisandro Abrego & Maria Alejandra Amado & Tunc Gursoy & Garth P. Nicholls & Hector Perez-Saiz, 2019. "The African Continental Free Trade Agreement: Welfare Gains Estimates from a General Equilibrium Model," IMF Working Papers 2019/124, International Monetary Fund.
    32. Nathaniel Kwapong Obuobi & John Gartchie Gatsi & Michael Owusu Appiah & Seyram Kawor & Emmanuel Kwakye Amoah & Mac Junior Abeka, 2022. "Trade liberalization policies and foreign direct investment inflows in Africa: Evidence from new measures of trade liberalization," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 394-409, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zühal Kurul, 2023. "Hard and soft factors of trade facilitation and export diversification: Evidence for developing and the least developed countries," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 61(2), pages 75-116, June.
    2. Enock Kojo Ayesu & Daniel Sakyi & Alexander Bilson Darku, 2023. "Seaport efficiency, port throughput, and economic growth in Africa," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(3), pages 479-498, September.
    3. Simon Yannick Fouda Ekobena & Adama Ekberg Coulibaly & Mama Keita & Antonio Pedro, 2021. "Potentials of the African Continental Free Trade Area: A combined partial and general equilibrium modeling assessment for Central Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(3), pages 452-465, September.
    4. Samson Nonso Okafor & Chukwunonso Ekesiobi & Ogonna Ifebi & Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2022. "Testing the triple deficit hypothesis for sub‐Saharan Africa: Implications for the African Continental Free Trade Area," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 34(1), pages 142-153, March.
    5. Abdoulaye Seck, 2017. "How Facilitating Trade would Benefit Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Development, African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA), vol. 19(1), pages 1-26.
    6. Yuanhong Hu & Min Jiang & Sheng Sun & Yixin Dai, 2022. "Does Trade Facilitation Promote Export Technological Sophistication? Evidence From the European Transition Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    7. Lukman OYELAMI & Amara ZONGO, 2022. "Modeling the Impact of Non-Tariff Barriers in Services on Intra-African Trade: Global Trade Analysis Project Model," Bordeaux Economics Working Papers 2022-08, Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE).
    8. Jinzhu Zhang & Fangfang Li & Yu Liu & Baodong Cheng, 2019. "An Assessment of Trade Facilitation’s Impacts on China’s Forest Product Exports to Countries Along the “Belt and Road” Based on the Perspective of Ternary Margins," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    9. Niru Yadav, 2014. "Impact of Trade Facilitation on Parts and Components Trade," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 287-310, October.
    10. Fatima Olanike Kareem & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Bernhard Brümmer, 2023. "What Drives Africa’s Inability to Comply with EU Standards? Insights from Africa’s Institution and Trade Facilitation Measures," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(4), pages 938-973, August.
    11. Fuenzalida-O'Shee, Darcy & Valenzuela-Klagges, Bárbara & Corvalán-Quiroz, Alejandro, 2018. "Trade facilitation and its effects on Chile’s bilateral trade between 2006 and 2014," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    12. Alassane D. Yeo & Aimin Deng & Todine Y. Nadiedjoa, 2020. "The Effect of Infrastructure and Logistics Performance on Economic Performance: The Mediation Role of International Trade," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 55(4), pages 450-465, November.
    13. Gabriel Mhonyera & Daniel Francois Meyer, 2023. "The Impact of AfCFTA on Welfare and Trade: Nigeria and South Africa in Light of Core Export Competences," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, March.
    14. Patrick Plane, 2021. "What Factors Drive transport and Logistics Costs in Africa ?," Working Papers hal-03198081, HAL.
    15. Bernard Hoekman & Anirudh Shingal, 2020. "Aid for trade and international transactions in goods and services," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 320-340, May.
    16. Ofori, Isaac K. & Dossou, Marcel A.M. & Asongu, Simplice A. & Armah, Mark K., 2023. "Bridging Africa’s income inequality gap: How relevant is China’s outward FDI to Africa?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(1).
    17. Jaime DE MELO & Yvonne TSIKATA, 2014. "Regional integration in Africa: Challenges and prospects," Working Papers P93, FERDI.
    18. Bernard Hoekman, 2014. "The Bali Trade Facilitation Agreement and Rulemaking in the WTO: Milestone, Mistake or Mirage?," RSCAS Working Papers 2014/102, European University Institute.
    19. Isaac K. Ofori & Francesco Figari & Nathanael Ojong, 2023. "Towards sustainability: The relationship between foreign direct investment, economic freedom and inclusive green growth," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 23/023, African Governance and Development Institute..
    20. Simola, Antti, 2014. "Mitigation of Aquatic Contaminant Hazards – Economic Analysis of Regional Costs and Benefits," Conference papers 332551, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    AfCFTA; trade facilitation; international trade; computable general equilibrium; East Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:fortra:v:59:y:2024:i:1:p:117-145. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.