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The Cyclic Process Decision-Heuristic: An Application in Time-Allocation Modeling

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  • B E Tonn

    (1524 Marconi Drive, Knoxville, TN 37919, USA)

Abstract

Models of human behavior can be evaluated against a number of criteria. For example, does the model incorporate important exogenous variables, and are the predictions of the model specific enough for policy analysis? In this paper, the author addresses the decision-heuristic component of human behavior modeling. The term ‘heuristic’ refers to the process individuals follow when making a decision, and a heuristic, in the modeling sense, provides the framework for deriving mathematical expressions which link an individual's decisions to behavioral goals, exogenous factors, and other decisions. The author presents the cyclic process decision-heuristic and its application in the derivation of a mathematical model of individual time-allocation behavior in two-spouse households. The heuristic incorporates specific hypotheses concerning human motivation. A mathematical model is derived for the heuristic, which is a step-by-step process. The author presents results of applying the model to explain variation in time-budget data collected by the Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, 1975–1976.

Suggested Citation

  • B E Tonn, 1984. "The Cyclic Process Decision-Heuristic: An Application in Time-Allocation Modeling," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 16(9), pages 1197-1220, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:16:y:1984:i:9:p:1197-1220
    DOI: 10.1068/a161197
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jerry A. Hausman, 1979. "Individual Discount Rates and the Purchase and Utilization of Energy-Using Durables," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 10(1), pages 33-54, Spring.
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    1. Dekker, Thijs & Hess, Stephane & Arentze, Theo & Chorus, Caspar, 2014. "Incorporating needs-satisfaction in a discrete choice model of leisure activities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 66-74.

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