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Search of Peace: Structural Adjustment, Violence, and International Migration

Author

Listed:
  • Steven Elías Alvarado

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • Douglas S. Massey

    (Princeton University)

Abstract

The authors analyze the effects of structural adjustment and violence on international migration from selected countries in Latin America by estimating a series of event history models that predicted the likelihood of initial migration to the United States as a function of the murder rate, economic openness, and selected controls in the country of origin. Although several theories posit a connection between structural economic change and violence, such a pattern held only in Nicaragua, where the homicide rate increased as the economy was opened to trade and average incomes deteriorated. Moreover, only in Nicaragua was lethal violence positively related to out-migration. In Mexico, Costa Rica, and Guatemala, rising violence reduced the likelihood of emigration. Violence does not appear to have uniform effects on patterns of international migration but depends on broader social and political conditions within particular countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Elías Alvarado & Douglas S. Massey, 2010. "Search of Peace: Structural Adjustment, Violence, and International Migration," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 630(1), pages 137-161, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:anname:v:630:y:2010:i:1:p:137-161
    DOI: 10.1177/0002716210368107
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Gaddy, Hampton Gray & Gargiulo, Maria, 2024. "Can we estimate crisis death tolls by subtracting population estimates? A critical review and appraisal," SocArXiv nrpb3, Center for Open Science.
    3. Esteve, Albert & Becca, Federica & Castro, Andrés, 2023. "Family change in Latin America: schooling and labor market implications for children and women," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120485, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. David Escamilla-Guerrero & Edward Kosack & Zachary Ward, 2023. "The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States," NBER Working Papers 31531, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Dana Alonzo & Marciana Popescu & Pinar Zubaroglu-Ioannides, 2021. "Training non-mental health professionals to assess and manage suicide risk: Community level intervention for suicide prevention in Guatemala," International Journal of Social Psychiatry, , vol. 67(6), pages 705-712, September.
    6. Fernando Riosmena, 2016. "The Potential and Limitations of Cross-Context Comparative Research on Migration," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 666(1), pages 28-45, July.
    7. Dana Alonzo & Marciana Popescu & Pinar Zubaroglu – Ioannides, 2022. "Effects of brief training on mental health provider’s knowledge of working with youth at risk of suicide in Guatemala," International Journal of Social Psychiatry, , vol. 68(2), pages 281-287, March.
    8. Esteve, Albert & Castro, Andrés & Becca, Federica, 2023. "Family Change in Latin America: Schooling and Labor Market Implications for Children and Women," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13097, Inter-American Development Bank.

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