The Agrarian Roots of Divergent Development: A Case Study of Twentieth-Century Brazil

The literature on development has long highlighted the role of international trade and developmental states as key factors in explaining divergent processes of economic development. A country’s position in the world economy and its state’s capacity to promote industrialization are seen as fundamental to understanding its development path. Yet, these approaches are often inadequate for explaining the actual contours of industrial and economic growth across the Global South. In this study, an in-depth case study of Brazil reveals the limits of the mainstream approaches and illustrates the centrality of the underlying agrarian economy for understanding the country’s development path. Archival and quantitative data show that both the timing and location of industrialization in Brazil are better explained by the agrarian dynamics that unfolded in the country in the twentieth century. This has broader implications for understanding development processes throughout the Global South.