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The Impact Of The Aging Population On The Sustainability Of Public Finances

Author

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  • Amalia Cristescu

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies)

Abstract

Significant demographic changes have been observed in most countries of the world in recent decades. The aging phenomenon of the population leads to significant changes in the age structure of the workforce. These changes will probably have profound influences on economic activity, both internally and internationally. However, due to the size of public pension and health spending, the net impact of these changes will lead to an increase in government spending that implies a decline in public economies, as long as fiscal policies remain unchanged. Another concern at global level is that the aging of the population can lead to a reduction of savings in the private environment, which, in turn, leads to a reduction of investments and real production and thus convergence is affected. The aging of the population represents a long-term challenge at the level of the European states in the light of the fiscal pressure on the social insurance system and implicitly of the convergence indicators - the budget deficit and the public debt. This paper aims to identify the factors that significantly influence the risk of poverty after retirement age and the impact on the convergence process using a panel date analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Amalia Cristescu, 2019. "The Impact Of The Aging Population On The Sustainability Of Public Finances," Romanian Journal of Regional Science, Romanian Regional Science Association, vol. 13(2), pages 52-67, DECEMBER.
  • Handle: RePEc:rrs:journl:v:13:y:2019:i:2:p:52-67
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lyons, Angela C. & Grable, John E. & Joo, So-Hyun, 2018. "A cross-country analysis of population aging and financial security," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 96-117.
    2. Cai, Jie & Stoyanov, Andrey, 2016. "Population aging and comparative advantage," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 1-21.
    3. Leers, Theo & Meijdam, Lex & Verbon, Harrie A. A., 2004. "Ageing, migration and endogenous public pensions," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-2), pages 131-159, January.
    4. David M. Drukker, 2003. "Testing for serial correlation in linear panel-data models," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 3(2), pages 168-177, June.
    5. Oecd, 2004. "Ageing and Financial Markets," Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2004(1), pages 85-120.
    6. Kluge, Fanny A. & Goldstein, Joshua R. & Vogt, Tobias C., 2019. "Transfers in an aging European Union," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 45-54.
    7. Prammer, Doris, 2019. "How does population ageing impact on personal income taxes and social security contributions?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Zapji Ymélé Aimé Philombe, 2022. "Interest Charges and the “Said†Ageing-related Expenditures: A Study of OECD Countries," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), International Hellenic University (IHU), Kavala Campus, Greece (formerly Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology - EMaTTech), vol. 15(3), pages 7-23, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic convergence; aging population; sustainability of public finances; labour market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

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